There's no such thing as a lock but this is a good spot to bet on.
Last season, there has been only 1 game late in the season where Kent State lost by more than 38 points.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Ke..._football_team
Alabama has lost many important key players from the 2010 NFL draft.
Pick 3: Marcell Dareus DE
Pick 6: Julio Jones WR
Pick 25: James Carpenter G
Pick 28: Mark Ingram RB
Pick 208: Greg McElroy QB
It is unlikely got Alabama to cover the spread with 38 points with missing key players.