[Dark Horse]

Football is here. And I'm torn. Used to love this sport. Did very well with it too in the past. But over the last couple of seasons the idea began the form in my mind that this may be the first sports market that has become too efficient. As in: not enough betting opportunities and too much time invested per bet. Holes I'd exploited with relative ease in the past, such as NFL totals, have closed with impressive, if not alarming speed. The smart business decision to me seems to withdraw my time from football and spend it far more efficiently in other leagues. My betting patterns have changed/evolved to the point where I really don't 'need' football. (I'll still have a few NFL plays lined up, here and there, but they don't require that I follow or study the sport). Got me wondering if others here have made or contemplated a similar decision. If so, what's it like? Life without football.

[Bill Dozer]

I htink you can look at two ways. 1) There is no variance or opinions in football lines so I'll bet less popular markets where this isn't the case. Basically, you were looking for other books like Pinnacle to help you decide what a good play is. You wouldn't bet say... an opener. 2) Let's say there was just one sportsbook line in the whole world. That book would be moving on money and what they think their customers will likely bet on. While that doesn't allow for clues within the market on where the line is going or what a good buy is, for the true football capper who has his number, this could work in his favor. All those big name public teams are going to be more off than they would when books followed sharp players.

[Dark Horse]

For me it would free up 30 hours per week. Comparable to poker with a few strong hands only and no time wasted.

[illfuuptn]

Look at the board today. MOST of the lines moved at least half a point and that was AFTER the outlaw lines were posted a long while back.

[evo34]

Football is here. And I'm torn. Used to love this sport. Did very well with it too in the past. But over the last couple of seasons the idea began the form in my mind that this may be the first sports market that has become too efficient. As in: not enough betting opportunities and too much time invested per bet. Holes I'd exploited with relative ease in the past, such as NFL totals, have closed with impressive, if not alarming speed. The smart business decision to me seems to withdraw my time from football and spend it far more efficiently in other leagues. My betting patterns have changed/evolved to the point where I really don't 'need' football. (I'll still have a few NFL plays lined up, here and there, but they don't require that I follow or study the sport). Got me wondering if others here have made or contemplated a similar decision. If so, what's it like? Life without football.

"Exploited with relative ease?" Ha. You're the same guy who posted this. If you're just now getting a grip on how turnovers work in football, you are not in position to be exploiting anything.

[Dark Horse]

Yes. Now it all makes sense, evo. What blinding stroke of genius. Clearly, my true purpose for starting a thread wondering if football is still worth my time is to exaggerate my past accomplishments in the sport. Groupies. If you bend any lower in your desire to suck it, you'll either end up kissing my feet, or I'll risk accusations of kiddie porn.

[covertwo]

Well it's hard to win. It is especially hard to win in football. No substitute for hard work, and trying to continuously find new angles. I aplaud the self-reflection though

[Dark Horse]

Well it's hard to win. It is especially hard to win in football. No substitute for hard work, and trying to continuously find new angles. I aplaud the self-reflection though

Yeah, it's a choice. The start of football is like someone placing two stacks of files on my desk that I can barely see over. That was the 'really?' part. Football is great to watch, but I didn't start this to turn into some f*cking accountant/office clerk. Much easier to make money in MLB and NHL and that covers a full calendar year. Pretty much an ideal setup. There was a time when I knew nothing of those two leagues, so I didn't have this choice. I was just wondering if others had made the same decision.

[That Foreign Guy]

Work = money. I <3 money so I don't *angry face* work.

[evo34]

Yes. Now it all makes sense, evo. What blinding stroke of genius. Clearly, my true purpose for starting a thread wondering if football is still worth my time is to exaggerate my past accomplishments in the sport. Groupies. If you bend any lower in your desire to suck it, you'll either end up kissing my feet, or I'll risk accusations of kiddie porn.

Do you have anything relevant to say? Your knowledge of the NFL is primitive. Yes, your painfully amateurish blog post proves just that. People with only primitive knowledge of a sport do not exploit inefficiencies with ease.