1. #1
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
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    take MLB ROAD teams +155

    the big home favorites (giants/dodgers/white sox) don't have the kind of offenses that score big.
    on the contrary, though, the big road favorites (phillies/yankees) can throw a double digit number out there to help out.

    if nothing else you have action on all the games to make tonight interesting, and you can always get bailed out with a big road team late if it's behind. although i will have to root for the cubs (ugh!)...

  2. #2
    ProfaneReality
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    I like your reasoning, but do you really think these things werent taken into account when the line was set?

  3. #3
    bobby heenan
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    im definitley into fading the giants....and i dunno what is up with eithier....but ive been making alot of money tailing kershaw....but yer right..im probably gonna stop now.....i like the sox though...buerhle at home(and ive been making a killing fading the twins)...white sox still hoping to make a last ditch run at the division

  4. #4
    Swipe317
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    I don't like the Phils tonight, NO TEAM hits lefties better than cinci, Hamels 2-3 after the all-star break, dealing with shoulder problems.,gave up 3er over 6IP last outing vs Cinci... However Homer Bailey is incredibly bad.

  5. #5
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    I like your reasoning, but do you really think these things werent taken into account when the line was set?
    yes i really think these things weren't taken into account. pretty much what happens is they total the 13 games' spreads and make a road/home line based on that. so a -167 home line for the dodgers is given about the same weight as a -172 road line for the yankees when it is exponentially more likely that the yankees win by 6 or more runs.

    these things are so soft my $200 bet made it move from +155 down to +150 at youwager

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