wow
1) the cubs weren't expected to be this bad before the season started, so when exactly would you start taking the phillies -300 against them? once it was a proven fact or would you just have a crystal ball?
2) the cubs this year are an awful 2-5 against the phillies but that's still around 29%
3) the cubs last year (2010) were pretty awful too and were 4-2 against the phillies
i DO understand the game and i know that no 65% team is going to beat a 40% team 75% of the time over the course of 162 games. that would be 122-40 and sorry but the odds of that happening would be about zero no matter how much you try to spin it.
AND NOW YOU'RE SAYING YOU WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF THE CUBS COULDN'T WIN 30 GAMES HEADS UP!
THAT WOULD BE 133-29 FOR THE PHILLIES OR 82%!!!!
when's the last time, even with a huge pitching advantage, you saw a line of -450 on the phillies vs the cubs? it would have to be that line EVERY time, even in chicago.
crazy stuff happens in baseball - that's why even the best teams in history don't go anything close to 75%. only one team in history ever did that, the 1906 cubs.