1. #1
    cant call it
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    Sbr official 2011-2012 nfl fade-the-lock thread

    You know what time it is! I started a thread last year combining all lock-fades from various sports, NFL, CFB, NCAABB, Soccer, NHL, MLB, and NBA. The thread did only fair in my opinion, fading every lock thread in sight, closing at +3.98 units. This year we are going to do it a little differently. I will keep the NFL lock-fades posted here for the duration of the NFL season to track the amount of money one would make fading SBR posters "lock threads". This thread is for tracking purposes only, I am not wagering money on these plays. I am doing it solely for the purpose of tracking a winning % fading locks, and for the purpose of brutally humiliating posters whose lock threads go south.
    Keep in mind even though some of us like to embarrass lock-thread losers to the brink of self-destruction, we also have to remember that we do not want to discourage them from posting more locks to fade.


    What qualifies as being a "lock thread?"
    The word lock will have to be in the thread title for a fade to be made. I will also included threads that are advertised to be a "sure victory" (free money, no way this loses, you are stupid if you do not bet this, etc) as long as the thread has at least three dancing locks inside the OP.


    How do we fade locks?
    After the lock thread is has been posted we will fade using these techniques. The poster's name and link to thread posted here along with the official "lock-fade" play. I will ultimately determine the official lock fade for the reason being that posters such as henryhill and crustyme like to post lock plays for chalky favorites of -200 or more. In the event of this happening, we would fade the dog+points or we would make a moneyline play on the dog if I liked the fade enough to do so. We will fade totals, sides, ML, 1H, 2H, and quarter plays. We will pretty much fade the smooth shit out of anything that is not a prop bet. These plays can be found anywhere on the forum, including nfl handicapping, players talk, service plays, posted in wrong forum, I don't give a damn we are fading it hard.



    I will be keeping a record of total $ won/lost , posting YTD, and the record of lock thread starters.

    If you have any questions or comments, feel free to post them here.

    Now let's go find those locks to fade!!

  2. #2
    T4k
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    This might be the greatest topic of the year

  3. #3
    Tech N9ne
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  4. #4
    cant call it
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    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...wednesday.html
    playboy_1
    I didn't want to fade the playboy but he called the fukking thing a lock, so we do what we do in this situation.
    This lock fade can be played at NE+2.5 (-102) or NE ML (+121) at bookmaker.
    Let's see if the line moves in our favor towards kickoff.

  5. #5
    cant call it
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    We hit a good underdog last night 1-0 YTD

    +1.21 U

  6. #6
    cant call it
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    We have yet another preseason lock to fade, I remember Icehouse from our first FTL thread here http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...ck-thread.html
    The last tally I did was post #258 where we were 2-1 fading this guys plays.

    We are taking another shot tonight fading his new lock of the century here http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...k-century.html

    MIAMI DOLPHINS -6 (-105)IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE PLAY


  7. #7
    Tech N9ne
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    Quote Originally Posted by cant call it View Post
    We have yet another preseason lock to fade, I remember Icehouse from our first FTL thread here http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...ck-thread.html
    The last tally I did was post #258 where we were 2-1 fading this guys plays.

    We are taking another shot tonight fading his new lock of the century here http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...k-century.html

    MIAMI DOLPHINS -6 (-105)IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE PLAY


  8. #8
    cant call it
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    Starting it off right!
    2-0 YTD
    +2.21 U

  9. #9
    cant call it
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    richkas post us a lock fade last night, did not see until this morning.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...ock-video.html
    SKINS +3.5 IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE WINNER!!!

    3-0 YTD
    +3.31 U



  10. #10
    cant call it
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    Looks like richie handed us our first loss of the year.
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...ock-video.html

    Cheifs +1 failed for us.

    3-1 YTD
    +2.26 U

  11. #11
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    We have locks to fade today. I remember these locks being posted during MLB season this year, we did very well when poster blue eyed tuna was posting these "ats lock club" picks. We gonna go balls deep on these fades.


    poster longsilver
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/service-pl...ub-8-27-a.html

    seahawks ML (+222) matchbook
    pats/lions under 44 (-105) 5dimes
    vikings ML (+103) 5dimes



  12. #12
    Kindred
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    fading the public/sqaure plays is

  13. #13
    nyjets15
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    AWESOME.....good luck with these

    what do you do if 2 people have locks on the opposite side of the same game? with the way people hype their plays, i'm sure this will happen almost weekly

  14. #14
    cant call it
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    3-3-1 ytd
    +.26 u

  15. #15
    cant call it
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kindred View Post
    fading the public/sqaure plays is
    Quote Originally Posted by nyjets15 View Post
    AWESOME.....good luck with these what do you do if 2 people have locks on the opposite side of the same game? with the way people hype their plays, i'm sure this will happen almost weekly
    It would be a no play, and yes it happens pretty often.

  16. #16
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    madden08 http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/service-pl...lock-club.html
    titans ML is the official FTL play (+117)


  17. #17
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    4-3-1
    +1.43 U


  18. #18
    cant call it
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    richkas handed us our ass last night here
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/search/key...k-9649059.html
    oakland +3 (even) loses



    4-4-1 YTD
    +0.43 U

  19. #19
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    Alright fukksticks I got alot of catching up to do, been heavy into cfb this season, no time to update these nfl plays.
    crustyme has provided another lock fade winner, crusty is used to losing, its his style as an airbetter to start lock threads, he enjoys the abuse http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-lock-day.html
    greenbay -4.5 (-110) Winner!

    Henryhill (crusty's dad) provided another lock fade winner here
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...t-me-boys.html
    jets ML (-140) Winner!

    beantownjim hit his lock here
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...-nfl-lock.html
    rams/eagles under 43.5 Loser!



  20. #20
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    ttwarrior has some locks to fade this sunday http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...day-locks.html

    phins ML +130
    titans +6.5 -110


  21. #21
    Naz18
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    Not going to be profitable.....your gonna lose to the juice....picking losers is just as hard as picking winners....

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