Originally Posted by
God1
Toronto is fine don't listen to these clowns about Romero's home/away split or lefty/righty split. If you look at 2010 his xFIP was nearly identical righty vs lefty and very small home/away split. Rays have been terrible at home for years also, I always look for reasons to bet against them at home. I think the line is probably close to right. Toronto's advantage vs lefties is not as pronounced vs one of the best in the league in price. I think if you believe that the Rays actually do worse at home than the league average(I do), then the line is definitely off
Cardinals are obviously the right side(this should say something as I've been screaming at the brewers being underpriced recently). Greinke/Carpenter being priced same as Marcum/Garcia? There should be at least a 20 cent difference. Brewers are notably worse vs lefties and Garcia is better than Marcum period. True line should be something like -110.