1. 08-01-11 12:30 PM #71
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    all valid points, call it a hunch, call it whatever, feeling here is CWS (who I'm not a fan of) gets it done over the team I love.

    Hunches don't make u succesful in sports gambling


    logical analysis makes you succesful in sports gambling



    this line - 160 is a goddamn steal. I would tell you there's probably an 85% chance that CC wins tonight, with all things being considered
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  2. 08-01-11 12:39 PM #72
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Dunn against sabathia is basically a guaranteed 0-4 with 4 Ks


    yankees offense is red hot right now, I expect them to get 3-4 runs off peavy and then get 2-3 more off the white sox relievers. Sabathia should dominate, as he always does vs CHW



    Yankees easy winner here 6-1

    if this is the way you feel dont you think nyy tt ov 4.5 is a more viable option without paying the high juice?
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  3. 08-01-11 12:40 PM #73
    og4667
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    what do you make of the overnight line move in NY's favor LB, books trying to headfake us?
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  4. 08-01-11 12:47 PM #74
    chantrain
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    no Paul Konerko? oh jesus, this game won't even be worth watching. The only consistent hitter on the WSox besies Paulie is Carlos Quentin...
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  5. 08-01-11 12:48 PM #75
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by chantrain View Post
    no Paul Konerko? oh jesus, this game won't even be worth watching. The only consistent hitter on the WSox besies Paulie is Carlos Quentin...
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  6. 08-01-11 01:07 PM #76
    Glada Tartan
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    Yes.. Time for Sabathia to lose one game!
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  7. 08-01-11 01:33 PM #77
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    this line - 160 is a goddamn steal. I would tell you there's probably an 85% chance that CC wins tonight, with all things being considered
    so then you put the true line closer to -500. bargain of the century!!

    no Paul Konerko? oh jesus, this game won't even be worth watching. The only consistent hitter on the WSox besies Paulie is Carlos Quentin...
    line has already adjusted for this and the impact is not as big as you would think(maybe 6 cents)
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  8. 08-01-11 02:08 PM #78
    dantanner
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    Bodog got the Sox at +175 now. Waiting for it to go up even more....
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  9. 08-01-11 02:14 PM #79
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by chantrain View Post
    no Paul Konerko? oh jesus, this game won't even be worth watching. The only consistent hitter on the WSox besies Paulie is Carlos Quentin...

    Wow, somebody with a clue
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  10. 08-01-11 02:21 PM #80
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Hunches don't make u succesful in sports gambling


    logical analysis makes you succesful in sports gambling



    this line - 160 is a goddamn steal. I would tell you there's probably an 85% chance that CC wins tonight, with all things being considered

    dude, nothing personal as im pretty much on your side here that either play nyy in some form in this gm or pass, that said no disrestpect but telling someone how to win gambling then saying nyy has a 85% chance of winning this baseball game are way the hell off. 85% chance of a single baseball gm going the way you think it will? if that was true the odds would be no where near the current level.
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  11. 08-01-11 02:33 PM #81
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Hunches don't make u succesful in sports gambling


    logical analysis makes you succesful in sports gambling



    this line - 160 is a goddamn steal. I would tell you there's probably an 85% chance that CC wins tonight, with all things being considered
    99 out of 100 of my plays are backed up with mind numbing statistics I crunch with assorted databases every day.
    You never played a hunch before?
    You never bet on a horse that took a dump before a race before?

    You'd be hard pressed to find somebody that does more homework than me on a daily basis, I'm saying I can't put my finger on it, but something tells me CC goes down tonight.

    My 'roll says I can play a hunch tonight, my 'roll says I can't retire tomorrow, but my 'roll does say I'm doing OK with the bases.

    g/l to you Bull.
    Hope your have a profitable night yourself.
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  12. 08-01-11 02:40 PM #82
    lakerboy
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    Bull did u play yanks tt over 4.5? Its only -102 at pinny last time I checked.
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  13. 08-01-11 02:41 PM #83
    Milanboy
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    I'm going with the yanks here.
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  14. 08-01-11 02:43 PM #84
    paco
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    Goodluck.

    woulda felt better with Pauly in the lineup.
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  15. 08-01-11 02:49 PM #85
    305GURU
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    Yanks all
    the way
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  16. 08-01-11 02:57 PM #86
    rm18
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    Jeter benched Sox have no chance now
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  17. 08-01-11 03:13 PM #87
    cadillac pete
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    Another issue is Peavy...I can't trust him at all.
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  18. 08-01-11 03:19 PM #88
    TheLock
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    We are on CWS +1.5 +105
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  19. 08-01-11 03:22 PM #89
    dj_destroyer
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    On them for a couple bucks... didn't know Konerko was out though.
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  20. 08-01-11 03:26 PM #90
    greenshark11
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    i like the yankees here tonight. Go with the braves against nats tonight they got the new center fielder. They are gonna be fired up
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  21. 08-01-11 03:29 PM #91
    LineKrusher
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    White Sox suck! Did Dunn RETIRE Yet ??? GO YANKEES
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  22. 08-01-11 03:34 PM #92
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    if this is the way you feel dont you think nyy tt ov 4.5 is a more viable option without paying the high juice?

    Because I can see yankees struggling on offense and still winning it 4-1
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  23. 08-01-11 03:38 PM #93
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    dude, nothing personal as im pretty much on your side here that either play nyy in some form in this gm or pass, that said no disrestpect but telling someone how to win gambling then saying nyy has a 85% chance of winning this baseball game are way the hell off. 85% chance of a single baseball gm going the way you think it will? if that was true the odds would be no where near the current level.


    Cc is 9 - 1 in us cellular field



    What percentage is that??? What makes u think its gonna be different this time with a red hot offense facing a strugglin offense starting an injured struggling starter??
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  24. 08-01-11 03:57 PM #94
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Cc is 9 - 1 in us cellular field



    What percentage is that??? What makes u think its gonna be different this time with a red hot offense facing a strugglin offense starting an injured struggling starter??

    i know exactly what cc numbers are at us cellular as if you read i mentioned that at some point in another post. unfortuantly past results do not nessicarly dictate future performance and if there was a 85% chance of nyy winning then the line would be what? a lot damn higher than it is, books dont stay in business by offering 85% winners at -160 imho....like ive already said i wouldnt play chisox and think their chances of winning are less than the openinng line suggested but 85% is absurd.
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  25. 08-01-11 03:59 PM #95
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Because I can see yankees struggling on offense and still winning it 4-1

    you said early they scored 4 off Peavy then another 2-3 off the pen, now they only good for 4? seems like their 85% chance of winning just dropped significantly.
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  26. 08-01-11 04:03 PM #96
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by Illusion View Post
    Sabathia has owned the White Sox throughout his career. Yakees are a very solid play here.
    I agree.
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  27. 08-01-11 04:04 PM #97
    spippen
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    Plus Peavy is a has been.
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  28. 08-01-11 05:03 PM #98
    Vesuvius
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    Good luck LB!
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  29. 08-01-11 05:05 PM #99
    ParlayJunkie
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    I'm liking the Marlins play LB. Good luck.
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  30. 08-01-11 05:09 PM #100
    Bob Loblaw
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    For those bashing Peavy, you're right, he does look like a shell of his former self. But one thing to consider is pitches 1-75 opponents are batting .221 against him. Pitches 76+ they are hitting .481. He has an era of nearly 12 in the 6th inning. I bring this up because after Peavy imploded in the 6th inning last start and lost the lead the Sox had gotten against Verlander, this became a big story here in Chicago. Ozzie and Cooper are aware of these numbers, the media is aware, and now all the fans are aware. I know Ozzie will manage whatever way he wants and likely won't let the media and fans manage his games for him but with everyone knowing these numbers and Peavy himself admitting his stamina is not there after coming off a serious injury, I believe there's a good chance of Peavy getting pulled after 5 today even if he's pitching well and has a low pitch count. If this happens this should give Peavy a better shot at having a solid start and he's backed by what has been a very good bullpen for some time now.
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  31. 08-01-11 05:16 PM #101
    dimon
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    I think NYY wins this one easy
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  32. 08-01-11 05:24 PM #102
    Soxxx420
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    Line is now at -180 or more diffferent sites for NYY. Glad I made my wager last night, CC definately takes this tonight
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  33. 08-01-11 05:36 PM #103
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by ParlayJunkie View Post
    I'm liking the Marlins play LB. Good luck.
    I love the Marlins tonight. Check out Infante
    http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvsp...7/mike-pelfrey
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  34. 08-01-11 05:40 PM #104
    boondoggle
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    if NYY are such a lock...bet the house...

    LB, I will be on CWSOX for a smoothie.

    bol.
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  35. 08-01-11 06:06 PM #105
    TheLock
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    I always find comfort in being on the other side of SBR Locks.

    Common CWS +1.5 one time
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