[Maverick11]

Excellent day today. 2-0. With you on the Rangers RL. Going large on this game tonight.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Record Listed Below

7/25 Astros Daily

Astros/Cardinals

PASS

Notes and Stats;

Both of these pitchers have been inconsistent as of late with poor ERAs and WHIPs. According to the Houston Chronicle and Astros Baseball, Happ has been working hard with the pitching staff to work out his issues and has seen improvement, but he has been very reachable to decent hitting squads. Last three games for Happ; 7.50 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. Road games 7.62 and 1.79 WHIP. In Astros (Happ) last three starts went 2-1 OVER giving up quite a few runs to his opponents.

McClellan has not been much better in his past performances surrendering 13 runs, 20 H, 3 HRs with only 7 Ks over 18 innings. Over his past 3 games he is 0-2 with very little offensive support. Career vs. Houston, McClelland has an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.097. Last game vs. Houston on the road 5/19 (2-4 Loss).

STL/Astros are 5-8 going over the total this season

Opinion;

The over would be the preferred opinion with these two on the mound, but I’m not going to take stock in a Houston team which has stranded numerous runners over the past 6 games. Would rather win or lose based on a strong home team’s offensive performance against a mediocre pitcher. Opinion; Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5


Weather: As of 3:51 this afternoon it was clear and 94F with a 4MPH blowing out to left center.


7/25 Plus Play Opinions

*Angels ML (Haren)

*White Sox ML (Buehrle)


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 19-15 and listed below when giving opinions for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. In addition, we will post a few (Plus) games we feel are worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather. Plus plays recorded below as well.

Posted Opinions
7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W

[Maverick11]

Not crazy about your Angels pick but will take the Chi Sox at home tonight for a small play. Gotta go large with the Red Sox RL like everyone else probably is. Keep up the good record.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Record Listed Below

7/26 Astros Daily

Astros/Cardinals


Notes and Stats;

We have faded Astros’ Brett Myers with success for over a month until 7/20, when the Nationals lost to Houston (2-3). Myer’s kept the ball low and moving much like he did in 2010. In his outing prior to 7/20, he went 6 innings with an impressive 11 Ks. Is the 2010 Brett Myers back? The test will be here on the road in St Louis against his former teammate Lance Berkman. Myers on the road is 2-4 with a 4.74 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP. In his last two road starts pitching a grand total of 10.1 innings he surrendered 9 runs, 14 hits, and walked 4. He has given up around 24 HRs this season which doesn’t bode well for him in this situation.

St Louis is starting Westbrook who is 8-4 and on the rebound after a few poor outings. Westbrook was averaging around 5 innings until 7/21 vs. the Mets, when he lasted 8 allowing 4 hits, 2 ERs, 1 BB, and 3 Ks for the win. When pitching at home, he has given up quite a few runs per game over the last 30 days.

Opinion;

Siding with Myers to win in this situation is not a consideration for me even though he has shown a two game rebound. Vegas is not giving him much credit in this situation either at +145/-165. Both of these pitchers give up an average of around 3.5 runs per game this season and the O/U is currently sitting at 8.5. A couple of bad innings from either of these pitchers and this game goes over the total again this evening. I sided with Cardinals Team Total Over 4.5 in last night’s opinion which was over by the 5th inning. Expect much of the same with Berkman back in the lineup after a day’s rest. Opinion: Posting this early afternoon with final thoughts for this game.

Weather: Clear again today , check back around game time for winds.


7/26 Plus Play Opinions

*Angels ML -130 (Weaver)

Weaver and the Angels at this price is value even as a road favorite. In my humble opinion, they are giving the Indians and Tomlin way too much credit in this situation at this price. Until last night’s ridiculous bottom of the 9th Angel’s blown save, the Indian’s were on a 0-4 skid heading to 0-5. The Indians had scored only 8 runs in 4 games before last night’s 3-2 win. Truly, the Angels should have beat the crap of them last night but just weren’t getting the breaks sending several balls to the track with men on base in a couple occasions.

Tomlin has allowed 12 runs and 21 hits over his past 3 starts. In comparison, Weaver has allowed 3 runs on 20 hits in three starts. To be fair to Tomlin he was on the road for two of those three. So looking back at Weaver’s last 2 previous road games he has allowed 3 runs and 14 hits over 13.2 innings. Weaver is dominant, no doubt, but the Angels are the better team right now. Additionally, they trail the Rangers by 4 games and can’t afford 9th inning mistakes.
Just my opinion; Tail or Fade

*Brewers ML -140 (Narveson)

The Brewers at home is the right situation for them and Narveson. The Brewers play extremely well at home and they have got to continue capitalizing on that situation while trailing ½ game back of St Louis and Pittsburgh.

The Brewer’s Narveson and the Cub’s Dempster are heading in opposite directions. Narveson pitched 7 scoreless in their win over Arizona. Dempster gave up 6 runs, 7 hits, and 3 BBs in 3 innings facing the Phillies in Chicago. Just my opinion; Tail or Fade

Back later with update on Astros Daily..


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 20-15 and listed below when giving opinions for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. In addition, we will post a few (Plus) games we feel are worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather. Plus plays recorded below as well.

Posted Opinions
7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W

[Xstream]

*Detroit ML -155 (Verlander)

Peavy (7.39 ERA) in his last four starts surrendered 17 ERs, 30 Hits, and 7 BBs. According to MLB, he has stated that he feels much stronger than before the break. This may be so and his last game reflects a lower number of ERs at 3 over 6 innings which is the best outing of the past 4.

All things considered, Verlander pitches his standard game (1.9 ER Avg.) not affording Chicago many scoring opportunities in comparison to Peavy giving up his typical (3.5 ER avg. or worse); CWS have lost this race. Peavy faced Detroit last month allowing 6 runs in just 4 innings at home.

Yes this is a tall price in the 150s for a road pitcher and considered in any case a high chalk risk. I contend that this guy is probably one of the best in the league and this might be one of the cheapest spots we will see him ML wise. Taking you back two games, CWS playing Cleveland with Masterson on the mound. Masterson is very good, but no Verlander and after giving up 1 run to the CWS in the first inning he proceeded to shut down CWS till the 5th when his left fielder loss the ball in the sun on a standard catch and cost him 2 runs and ultimately the 4-2 loss. 3 fielding errors and 3 runs.

This opinion is not for everyone and maybe no one at this price and some would say why not the under 7. I would say because of the chance of a subpar game from Peavy or even a mediocre game from both takes you right to 7 very quickly. Obviously, these teams can score if giving the opportunities. Detroit is on top of the scrappy AL Central for a reason.

I put this out here and maybe it’s one just to watch and enjoy because it should be a hell of a game. Food for thought; tail, fade, or watch.

The rest of my written opinions are in the post above.
GL

[Xstream]

no updated Astros opinions as promised. Sticking with the above; 3:30AM posted opinions and 8:30AM posted opinion. Hope the information is helpful to either to tail, fade or watch. GL

[Xstream]

Opinions and Record Listed Below

7/27 Astros Daily Opinion..

Astros/Cardinals

Pass , notes below

Notes and Stats;

The Cardinals have not been able to keep Holliday or Berkman in the game against the Astros during this series. Holliday is suffering from a stomach illness and Berkman’s shoulder will keep him out this evening with a return expected later in the week. Cardinal’s 3rd Baseman Freese will possibly be on a 15 day DL due to a hamstring issue as well. Mize well give everyone a rest during this series.

Taking the above into consideration, Astros’ Bud Norris should have somewhat of an easier time trying to keep this one close. Trying is the operable word; In Norris’ last 3 starts he has surrendered 25 hits, 5 HRs, and 10 ERs over 19 innings. Norris’ history of starts vs. St Louis is an impressive 6-2 with 2.45 ERA and WHIP of 1.159. On the road Norris has an ERA of 4.94 and WHIP of 1.373. Norris has thrown some great games for the Astros and shouldn’t be discounted because of his last 3 starts.

St Louis’ Carpenter has a home ERA of 2.91 and WHIP of 1.250 avg 6.8 innings per game. In his last three starts; 3.68 ERA and WHIP of 1.545 going 2-0. Carpenter has given up quite a few hits lately, 26 over 22 innings. Two of his last three outings have been fairly high scoring and Over the Total. Carpenter’s history against the Astros is 8-5 with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.

Opinion;

St Louis playing without a few of their powerful hitters has not kept them from beating the Astros over the past two nights and that will probably continue this evening. Obviously, the ML is too high. The Cardinals trend to win by 2 runs (5-6) but in this situation I don’t have an opinion on the RL due to the lineup. Due to injuries or sick players, Norris and Carpenter hold down the runs to a minimum and the game stays under 8 runs. Weak Opinion.

Weather: Fair and windy, winds blowing out to left.

7/27 Plus Play Opinions

Arizona ML Even

I have sided with Kennedy on several occasions with success. Kennedy is 3-0 in his last three with 2.25 ERA and a WHIP of 1.10 allowing 5 runs, 15 hits, and 15 Ks in 20 innings. Kennedy is 2-0 vs. the Padres with 2.25 ERA in four starts. According to MLB, Arizona will also have the benefit of JJ Putz as its closer tonight. Kennedy at PETCO, has not allowed a run in two career starts 1-0.

Cory Luebke is pitching excellent as well with home ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of .67. As of late Luebke has a 3.00 ERA and 1 WHIP losing 2 of 3.

This is a tough game, but siding with the D-Backs to win. Tail, Fade, or Watch.

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 24-16 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions
7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W

[Maverick11]

6-2 last 8 is excellent. I will continue to tail. People should follow this guy as he is making money.

[Xstream]

Thanks, I hope you took those opinions, Stros under was close but in PETCO Kennedy brings it for the third time in a tough spot.

[astrodomer]

Yay Astros that 2nd baseman they brought up is red hot he won the game tonight along with a strong pitching performance by Norris

[Xstream]

Yep, Jose won the game for them and Norris pitched a good outing. Wandy on the mound tomorrow against Garcia.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

7/28 Astros Daily Opinion..

Astros/St Louis

8:15 EST

Opinion Posted Later

7/28 Plus Play Opinions

A’s / Rays Over the Total 7.5

In the last three games of this series both teams have shown consistent offensive performance. Obviously, Oakland more so than Tampa with a 3 game 24 run series with a .364 batting average. Oakland leads the majors in batting since the All Star break with .321 avg. Oakland is 8 of 12 since the break and going for a 4 game sweep of Tampa. Additionally, The A’s are 3 of 3 Over the Total in this series.

Tampa’s Wade Davis has 5.19 ERA and WHIP of 1.731 going 0-2 in his last 3 allowing 26 Hits. 2 of 3 games were Over the Total. In comparison, A’s Rich Harden is carrying a 5.19 ERA with a 1.443 WHIP allowing 17 hits of which 4 were HRs surrendering 10 ERs. Granted, Hardin faced the Yankees, Texas, and the Angels so he gets somewhat of a pass, but Tampa’s Upton, Lind, Longoria, Joyce, Damon and Zobrist are nothing to discount.

Taking the A’s for the first time 4 game sweep seems easy, but sitting back and letting these two battle with a low under sounds easier. Your call tail, fade or watch.



Detroit ML -133

I have been on and off the Angels bandwagon with great success. In this case with Pineiro on the mound for the Angels sporting a 9.24 ERA and a WHIP of 2.370 while pitching only 12.7 innings in 3 games; I have to side with the home team. Additionally, Pineiro allowed a whopping 14 runs and 25 hits in those 12.7 innings. To his credit, Pineiro is 7-3 vs. Detroit with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.286 since 1997. The team record is 7-5 accordingly.

Brad Penny hasn’t been breaking any records but he is consistent with home starts having an ERA of 3.15 and a 1.276 WHIP this season. In his last three games he is 2-1 including a road win over the Angels 5-4 on 7/6. Penny is 3-3 vs the Angels since 97. The Tigers are 9-4 with Penny pitching at home.

The Angels are not faring well this season against RHP (.259 Avg. .311 OBP)

The bottom-line in this situation, the Tigers need to capitalize early on Pineiro and hold the lead. If they don’t capitalize and start stranding runners this game will be a struggle. Tail, Fade,or Watch.


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 25-16 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W

[Maverick11]

Very nice writeup today AND YOU HAVE WON 5 IN A ROW. Will gladly take the over in the rays/A's game as I also like this play. Good luck.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

7/28 Astros Daily Opinion..

Astros/St Louis

Astros pitcher, Wandy Rodriguez, in his last start versus the Cub’s on Saturday had a fair outing giving up three hits and two runs. Wandy struck out seven through seven innings surrendering two homeruns losing 1-5. Wandy has had it rough over the three starts prior to the Cubs; allowing 21 hits, 14 ERs and walking 11. Historically, Wandy is 5-11 against St Louis with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.111. During those starts the Under is 11-5. Depending on the Cardinal lineup tonight and taking in consideration that the Cardinals now trail the Brewers by 2 coming into tonight’s game things might get rough.

The Cardinals start Garcia who is actually 0-2 versus the Astros (4/26 5-6F and 6/8 1-4F). How much does that screw with your brain on this game? In those starts he had an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 1.761. (1-2 Overs to Unders). In his past three games Garcia 2-1 (2 Road Games) with an excellent 1.77 ERA and a 1.181 WHIP averaging 6.8 innings per game allowing only 4 ERs on 21 hits, and 3 walks. Not bad? St Louis is 8-3 in this series and 6 of 11 have gone Over. Games played at St Louis , the Cardinals are 4-1 and 4 of 5 have gone Under.

Opinion

Last night we were fortunate to give an opinion on the Under that really should have gone Over. Realistically, this is how this game should play out tonight; Garcia, who truly is a good pitcher at home, should step on the mound and hold these guys to nearly nothing. The Cardinal’s offense with Holiday back and hitting well should cover this by two runs allowing an opportunity for the RL to win. Add the Astros Factor to the mix and God only knows. Very Humble Opinion; Cards win and cover the RL +110

Injuries: Berkman and Freese


Weather: Fair with light winds blowing across the field to third (3PM CST)

7/28 Plus Opinions

Afternoon today 7/28 (1-1)

Possible late plus play posted later

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 26-17 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W

[kaijunn]

nice write up. i was thinking cardinals is the best play for tonight already. i had a rough afternoon and need some momentum!

[Maverick11]

Like the Cards here as well but Wandy is tough. Will take the RL and hopefully the hook doesn't come into play. Another good pick on the over this afternoon.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

7/29 Plus Opinions

Mets ML -117

After losing three straight to the Marlins at home, the Nationals face a healthy Mets team that are hitting the ball better than ever. As we all watched, the Mets handed the streaky Reds three straight losses scoring 26 runs with 37 hits.

Mets pitcher Dillon Gee is 9-3 with 3.75 ERA and WHIP of 1.202 this season. In his last three starts Dillon has an ERA of 5.09 and a positive of WHIP 1.118 while pitching 17.4 innings surrendering 10 ERs, 15 Hits, with a low 7Ks winning only 1 game. In his road starts Gee has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.301 WHIP. Gee is 2-0 career vs the Nationals. More impressively, Dillon’s carries an ERA of 0.61 and WHIP .682 vs. the Nationals.

The Nationals are not the same scrappy team as before the break.

Chin-Min-Wang will start tonight for the Nationals and has not pitched in the bigs for over two years due to shoulder and foot issues. Wang is 2-1 career vs. Mets with 4.57 ERA and WHIP of 1.061 in three starts. According to MLB, Wang will start with a limit of 80-90 pitches. Wang has an impressive past and should not be discounted, but recovery and return is difficult especially against a team hitting .312 with OBP of .376 avg. 5.4 rpg. The relievers for the Nationals are third in the MLB when it comes to innings pitched during July. This will increase this series.

Honestly, I don’t really care who is pitching on either side, even though the advantage in this case is with the Mets, because the Mets offense would need a complete breakdown in order to lose this game or keep it close. Can that happen, of course, is it likely, probably not.

I would side with the Mets as a small favorite on the ML. Tail, Fade or Watch.

One more Plus Play to be added later.

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 26-17 and recorded below. 8-3 this week in posted plays.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W

[Maverick11]

This may be a trap game. Probably going to pass on this tonight. Don't like road favorites too much.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

7/29 Astros Daily Opinion..

Astros/ Brewers

Pass again with notes and opinions below.

Jordon Lyles and Bud Norris are the Astros top pitchers and have pitched well as of late on the road. Lyles, as we have stated before is a very young pitcher with loads of talent and has a bright future. He has started against the likes of Texas and Boston holding them to minimal runs but unfortunately didn’t have the relief or run support to win. Today he is opposite Randy Wolf who has pitched well also, carrying 3.10 ERA and 1.463 WHIP. Wolf in his last three games pitched an avg. of 6.8 innings surrendering 7 ERs runs off 22 hits. All games Under the Total. Wolf's career vs. Astros is 7-5 with an ERA 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.077.

Opinion

We have stayed away from standing on a firm opinion for the last few games because it’s a coin flip with the Astros as you have seen at the Cubs and Cardinals. In this situation, you have the Astros coming off two wins and playing good ball against a Brewers team who didn’t play commanding baseball against the Cubs; barely winning each game of the series. Lyles and Wolf have good potential here to keep this low scoring and Under 8.5. If the Brewers slip at all the Astros could actually win the game. Good game to watch.


Injuries: Weeks/Brew

Weather: Fair with light winds


7/29 Plus Opinions


POSTED EARLIER TODAY


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 26-17 and recorded below. 8-3 this week.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/23 White Sox Postponed-Rain
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below


7/30 Plus Opinions

*Tampa ML +105

Tampa’s Alex Cobb has been pitching very well carrying an ERA of 1.40 and a WHIP of .931 over three games and winning 2. More impressively are Cobb’s road start stats in which, his ERA drops to 0.95 and a WHIP of 1.211 while avg. 6.3 innings, 2 ERs, 0 HRs, and 2 walks.

Conversely, Michael Pineda is heading in the opposite direction losing his last three starts while racking up a 10.92 ERA and 1.662 WHIP. During those contest Pineda surrendered 19 ERs, 21 hits, 4 HRs, and 5 walks. Looking back at his season’s home starts he has fared much better winning 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA.

If Pineda can shake off his recent poor performances on the road this might turn out as the line suggests, a close pitching duel and low scoring. Either way the Mariners don’t have the offense to win the race and the Rays will win again with one or two good at bats in this situation. With the likes of Kotchman, Zobrist, Longoria, and Damon hitting well it is hard to envision Seattle walking away from this one on top, but that’s up to you to determine. Tail, Fade or Watch

Weather: Fair with mild winds.

Back later with one more Plus play and the Astros opinion write up for this evening.


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 27-17 and recorded below. 9-3 this week.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W

[Maverick11]

You are on a nice run. Keep em coming I have made a nice sum of money the last 2 weeks. I think you pick too many road teams but it's working so far. Will continue to tail and I'm sure others are as well they are just not posting. Also, with Pence being traded I don't think I can back the Stros for awhile.

[Xstream]

Yes it seems the Astros are going to turn the place upsaide down and rebuild. I was fortunate with a weak opinion on the under last night but can't back the Astros with Happ on the bump for tonight.


Lets make it offical as I'm gone for the rest of the day.

7/30 Astros Daily Opinion
*Brewers RL

BOL and glad you won some bucks.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

The Astros Daily Opinion

Astros / Brewers

PASS with Opinions listed below

Notes and Stats

Brett Myers has had a nice rebound over his past three starts. For a couple of months it was an easy call to fade him or just side with the over. In his last three games he carries a 3.43 ERA and a WHIP of 1.381 while averaging 7 innings and surrendering a total of 8 runs. Myers has a definite problem with giving up the long ball (26 total), which in this situation may not bode well for him while facing the likes of Fielder, Hart, and Braun. Myers is 4-4 vs. the Brewers with 2-9 O/U. Career ERA vs. the Brewers is 3.70 with a WHIP of 1.155

In comparison, Narveson has been consistent as well winning 2 of his last three and carrying a 2.50 ERA with a WHIP of 1.167 surrendering just 5 runs and walking only 4 batters. All of those games going Under the Total. At home Narveson is 6W-2L allowing a grand total of 24 ERs. Narveson career vs. the Astros is 0-2 with an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.400. 4-1 Under the Total.

Opinion

In this series, I have sided with a weak opinion Under in game one (4-0 Final) and a firm opinion Brewers RL play in game two (6-2 Final). In game three there is no doubt of the Brewers beating the Astros with their offense stripped of Bourne and Pense. The game in my opinion should be somewhat low scoring due to Myers, Narveson, and the Astros lack of offense. Weak opinion on the Under 8.5 based on Myers continuing to pitch well and lasting late into the game. If Myers pitches well the RL with the Brewers should be fine as well, in a lopsided low scoring win. If Myers reverts back to the way he pitched before the break this will a lopsided blow out.


Injuries: Weeks/Brewers

Weather : Mixed Clouds and Sun 81F with a wind blowing cross field to third base 8 MPH @ 10 AM CST.

7/31 Plus Opinions

Phillies / Pitt Under 8

Karstens in his last 3 carries a 1.71 ERA with 1.048 WHIP surrendering just 4 ERs over 21 innings with 2 of 3 Under the Total. In all his road starts he carries a 3.06 ERA and WHIP of 1.132 allowing 18 ERs over 53 innings. To say Karstens is consistent is an understatement. In comparison, Worley carries a 1.71 ERA with 1.48 WHIP over 21 innings surrendering just 4 ERs. 2 of 3 Under the Total. This game should be close and hopefully stays Under 8 runs in my humble opinion.


One more Plus play posted later..

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 28-18 and recorded below. 10-4 this past week.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W
7/30 Tampa ML L
7/30 Brewers RL W

[Xstream]

7/31 Plus Play

Rays ML (Listed Pitchers) Hellickson vs. Vargas

Going back to the Rays this afternoon after they lost a close game yesterday against Seattle. Hellickson has been excellent and looks good in this situation while Vargas has been going the opposite direction. Rays will need to capitalize and finish this series in the right direction in another close game. Tail, Fade, or Watch.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

The Astros Daily Opinion

Astros / Reds

Reds ML -118

Notes and Stats

Everyone has read over the past 24 hours, the Astros are rebuilding their organization and have already traded Bourne and Pense. In addition, the local and national press reported that the Astros have sent first baseman Brett Wallace and third baseman Chris Johnson down and brought up a couple of players for review. Additionally, J.D. Martinez was bought up to review and hopes to remain.

The Astros’ Norris has won two of three recently carrying a 4.50 ERA and 1.44 WHIP giving up 22 hits of which 5 were home runs. In home appearances Norris has an ERA 2.93 and WHIP of 1.239 with a record of 3-3. Norris is consistent and the Astros hope he will continue to maintain his 6.4 inning average. Career vs. Cincinnati; Norris is 0-1 with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.545 with a team record of 0-2. He will face a pretty tough line up tonight and a team coming off three wins at home against the Giants.

The Reds start Bronson Arroyo who has only been consistent when it comes to giving up earned runs, averaging 4 or better in his last 4 starts. According to MLB, the Reds had Arroyo checked out recently to see if there were any problems and apparently that came up negative. There is no way to predict how he will fare against the Astros’ new lineup and so maybe this game is his chance to get back on track, mentally and physically. In his past career performances vs. the Astros he is 10-6 with ERA of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.249. In any case, if Arroyo finds himself in another bad position early his bullpen will have to carry the load with an ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 1.295.

Opinion

Obviously, the Reds need this series to stay within 6 1/2 or improve their standings in the NL Central. The Astros keep pulling rabbits out of their hat like that three run homer yesterday by Bourgeois keeping the game close. You can look at tonight’s game from two perspectives. The first being the fact that four or more veteran starters are out of the Astros’ lineup facing an offense that will definitely put their defensive cohesiveness to the test (Norris- 22 hits ov. 3g). The second being Arroyo’s recent slump and the possibility of him putting the Reds in an early deficit and them trying to play catch up against Bud Norris. Either perspective doesn’t look good, hence the low ML in my opinion. The opinion is a slight edge to the Reds on the ML in what might be a game decided late off the Astros’ relievers if Norris pitches well. Norris has given up the long ball; 5 over 3 games in a hitter friendly Minute Maid Park. Normally I would pass in this situation but I might go and watch this one. Tail, fade or watch.


Injuries:


Weather: N/A


8/1 Plus Opinions


Will Post later….



SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 29-19 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W
7/30 Tampa ML L
7/30 Brewers RL W
7/31 Phillies Under 8 L
7/31 Tampa Rays ML W

[Maverick11]

Agree with your pick today however leaning towards the over as well. Your winnning percentage is excellent. people should be making money on you. Worth tailing for now.

[Maverick11]

Gl tonight X

[Xstream]

Thanks leaving to the game now.

8/1 Plus Play

*Brewers ML (Listed Pitchers)

I like the Brewers in a close one with Greinke on the bump against a Cards team thats fallen to the likes of the Astros twice and the Cubs in the late evening game. In those games the Cards have not been hitting on all cylinders whether its pitching or poor hitting with men in scoring position. All of the above. Not to mention Brewers on a 6 game winning streak and 7 of 10.

Many would say this is a good spot and value for the Cards to win, sobeit I lose with a good team having the second best home winning record in the NL. Tail, Fade or Watch , either way BOL to all on this game.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

The Astros Daily Opinion 8/2

Astros / Reds

PASS

Notes and Stats

In last night’s game you almost felt out of place at Minute Maid because the Astros have literally sold or sent down the majority of recognizable players. I felt like my write up on the game was pretty much dead on with Arroyo putting the Reds into an immediate deficit and Norris holding them down in a head lock. The Reds regained their composure sending a couple balls deep against the wall with runners in scoring position to bring them back square. The two things I had not factored in for the Reds were the 10 runners in scoring position that they would leave stranded and the piss poor relief job. This game should have been out of reach for the Astros by the seventh inning. The game brought back memories of their Mets series.

Wandy Rodriguez has pitched well over his last three starts especially the game in St Louis where he struck out seven over seven innings, winning 5-3. So far he carries a three game ERA of 3.20 with an impressive 24 Ks. Wandy faced the Reds on 5/11 surrendering 3 runs over seven innings winning 4-3. The former Astros have won all 5 of Rodriguez’s games vs. the Reds at Minute Maid.

In comparison, the Reds’ pitcher Homer Bailey has faced the Astros three times this season going 2-0 with 0.69 ERA with 12 Ks. I guess it would be appropriate to say the former Astros offense had less than a 200 batting averaging when facing him this season. In those games the Reds won; 10-4 F and 7-3 F. As of late, Homer Bailey carries a 6.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.615 allowing over 12 ERs. According to MLB, tonight should be quite different for the Reds as far as relief pitching. Aroldis Chapman will step in having not allowed a run in seven appearances.

Opinion

The Reds come into tonight’s game with another very inconsistent pitcher. Yes, he has pitched well against the Astros in the past, but will that guy show up. The Reds will be facing another solid Astros pitcher tonight and the will have to capitalize when scoring opportunities present themselves otherwise they will take another loss.

Injuries:

Weather: N/A


8/2 Plus Opinions

Phillies / Colorado Over 10

Phillies’ Kendrick over his past three games is 2-1 with 3.32 ERA and WHIP of 1.335. Of the last three starts 2 of 3 games were over the total. Career vs. Colorado, Kendrick has an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.683. The team record vs. Colorado during his starts is 8-0 over the total. Kendrick’s last road starts have been over the total.

Aaron Cook has not fared much better vs. Philly with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.703. Colorado’s team record in these starts is 4-5 O/U. In Cook’s last three appearances he is 2-3 with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.644.

The Phillies are 15-5 over the past three seasons with 11-19 going over the total.

If the trends hold true this game should be fairly high scoring which is usually the case anyway at Coors Field.

Tampa Rays ML (Listed Pitchers)

I have had decent success tailing or fading the Rays since the break and this seems like another nice situation for Price at home. Price needs to look pass July and return to form (8-0 vs. Jays). Price is 6-0 at home vs Toronto. The Rays have won consistent series vs. the Jays and that should continue this week.

Cleveland / Boston Under 9 Listed Pitchers

LHP David Huff starts Tuesday vs. Boston pitching Beckett. I have watched David Huff pitch twice this year. One game you might remember occurred last Wednesday against the Angels when Santana threw a no hitter winning 3-1. Huff held the Angels to 5 hits, 1 ER, 0 Walks, with 4 Ks in his first loss of the season. In his previous start on July 18 vs. the Twins, Huff had an excellent game pitching 7 scoreless innings allowing 5 hits and no walks with 5 strike outs. In his first season with the Tribe in 2009 Huff went 11-8 followed by a poor 2010 going 2-11. Subsequently, Huff was sent down to work things out where he had a record of 8-3 with 3.86 ERA in 17 outings. Article after article written about Huff contains a common thread, the guy has great potential. He is a much needed LHP with decent heat (91 to 94) and a nice range of pitches. Huff is currently carrying a 0.71 ERA with a WHIP .95 over 12.2 innings. Huff is 0-2 vs. Boston in two career starts. All starts Under the Total.

Beckett is 1-1 against the Tribe this season (4-2W) and (3-1L). Beckett is 3-0 Under the total his last three games .
In this season when the Indians have played Boston 4 of 7 games have gone under the total by 2 runs or more.

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 30-20 and recorded below. 2-2 for this week.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W
7/30 Tampa ML L
7/30 Brewers RL W
7/31 Phillies Under 8 L
7/31 Tampa Rays ML W
8/01 Reds ML L
8/01 Brewers ML W

[og4667]

like the thread, some good astro info. Hard to believe the Astros will be able to win another one with their AAA lineup...Wandy should be able to hold his own though.

[Maverick11]

With you on the Rays for sure. Probably will take the Colorado over as well. Your record is great and everyone following should be making money. If your tailing xstream then post your thoughts.

[Xstream]

8/3 Plus Opinions

Cardinals ML (Listed Pitchers)

These two teams have been literally battling it out of the last couple of games with pitchers hitting star players, managers supposedly filing complaints, and umpires issuing warnings left and right. All of this sounds like a typically baseball game between two teams that actually have something to play for and makes for a good game today.

Jackson and Wolf having been pitching well as of late with low ERAs and decent WHIPs. After Jackson’s trade to the Cardinals he kept it business as usual against the Cubs pitching 7 innings surrendering 1 ER on 7 Hits with 4 Ks in a 9-2 win. This outing is consistent with his previous 4 only losing one game carrying an ERA of 1.23. Jackson’s career record is 1-1 against the Brewers with 3.00 ERA and WHIP of 1.33.

LHP Randy Wolf comes into today winning one of his last three giving up 19 hits, 7 BB, and 5 runs over 20.1 innings. Wolf’s career vs. the Cards is 5-7 with an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.28. In his last meeting against them on 5/6 he pitched 5 innings surrendering 6 runs.

This heated match up today might be a good one to set on the sidelines and just watch. Slight Edge with the Cardinals pitching Jackson on the ML.

NOTE: Pujois has been upgraded and will start after being hit in the hand yesterday. Please recheck this close to game time.

Tail, Fade, or Watch.


Back with the Astros Game write up and one Late Plus Play. BOL

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below

The Astros Daily Opinion 8/3

Astros / Reds

*Reds ML

Notes and Stats


Astros’ Jordon Lyles may be winless, but at 20 years old he has shown everyone that he has loads of talent and has bright future in the MLB. He has started against the likes of Texas (3ERs), Boston (0 ER), and Milwaukee (2 ERs) holding them all too minimal runs but unfortunately didn’t have the relief or run support to win. He isn’t the kind of young pitcher that generally blows up putting his team in a huge deficit and has proven that fact over his last starts. In his last four starts, three of which were on the road, he pitched 26.1 surrendering a total of 14 ERs on 27 hits and striking out 17. Not bad?

Red’s Dontrelle Willis has allowed 3 runs or fewer in all four starts since being brought up. Just like Lyles, Willis is winless but to his credit he has pitched with good numbers as well. In his previous four he has surrendered only 9 ERs on 22 hits over 22.3 innings. When in control Willis will rack up scoreless frames against you.

Rationale


Whether you believe it or not the pitching and support stories above read eerily familiar. Everyone knows the facts here; the Astros are rebuilding with mostly news players and the Reds need every win they can get to stay in the hunt and have been inconsistent to say the least. Last night I wrote that the reds can win if Homer Baily shows up and the Reds stop stranding men in scoring position. Bailey showed up and held the Astros to nothing and they hit a grand slam to clear the runners for the win. The opinion tonight is the same as last night and hopefully the same outcome. Chalk is steep on ML; I have no opinion on the RL with Lyles on the mound.

Injuries: N/A


Weather: N/A


8/3 Plus Opinions


*Twins ML (Listed Pitchers)

*KC ML (Listed Pitchers)

*Tampa ML (Listed Pitchers)


SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 31-22 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W
7/30 Tampa ML L
7/30 Brewers RL W
7/31 Phillies Under 8 L
7/31 Tampa Rays ML W
8/01 Reds ML L
8/01 Brewers ML W
8/02 Phillies Over 10 L
8/02 Rays ML L
8/02 Red Sox Under 9 W

[Maverick11]

Too many road teams lately for my liking. Eventually that will catch up with you. However I do agree slightly with the Reds tonight. But we could say that against the Astros for the rest of the year.

[Xstream]

Opinions and Posted Record Listed Below


8/4 Plus Plays

Afternoon..

Texas ML (Listed Pitchers)

The Rangers have been on a rough run as of late with a couple of key hitters out of the lineup. Fortunately, one of the two is back as of last night’s game which should provide Ogando some much needed run support in order for him to turn it around today. No team has beaten the Rangers in three straight this season. Ogando is 2-0 against Detroit with an ERA of 0.61 and a WHIP of 0.750. On 6/8 (7-3 Final) and on 4/11 (2-0 Final) Home and Road.

Brad Penny is 1-3 against the Rangers with ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.500. In his latest outings he has 7.41 ERA and WHIP of 1.765 going 1-2. 2 of the games pitched at home.

Note; Hamilton struggles during day games laying the blame on his eyes and sunlight. Penny has been a little hot under the collar with his team mates as of late should be interesting today if he starts his usual rant.

**I am partial to the Rangers so take this opinion and information for what it’s worth and then tail, fade or watch.

Toronto ML (Listed Pitchers)

Brett Cecil has been lights out as of late against strong offensives carrying an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP 1.043. I have not forgotten the day Cecil walked into The Ball Park at Arlington here in Texas and shutdown a healthy Rangers squad 3-0 in a complete game on July 24. In addition, Cecil gave a repeat performance at home against the Rangers on July 29 winning 3-2. Cecil has a Road ERA of 1.17 since being called up from the minors.

In comparison Wade Davis is going in the opposite direction with a 7.16 ERA and WHIP of 1.776 in his last three. Granted those games were on the road; His current home ERA is 4.18 with a WHIP of 1.47 going 3-4 over 8 games. Comparing road and home for Davis is important; 3 Road games surrendering 15 runs and 8 home surrendering 22.

In summary, Cecil is 4-2 Career when starting against the Rays and is 1-1 this season with a 4.76 ERA and a WHIP of 1.285. The Over in those games is 3-4 O/U. Conversely, Davis career vs. the Jays is 2-2 with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.245. The over in those games is 1-4 O/U. Obviously as with all good pitching runs there is an end, but hopefully it’s not here against the inconsistent Rays (25-26 Home Record) There is decent value (+115) with Toronto making this play even more enticing.

Evening..

*Cleveland / Red Sox Under 9 (Masterson/Bedard)

Like Masterson to slow down the Red Sox today…

*Royals ML (Listed Pitchers)


*Yankees ML (Listed Pitchers)

Konerko or not, the CWS have been horrible offensively.

SBR Posted Record

The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 34-24 and recorded below.

The Astros Daily Plus Thread..

There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.

Posted Opinions

7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W
7/10 Astros Over 8 W
7/10 Texas Rangers ML W
7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W
7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L
7/10 Angels ML W
7/10 Padres ML L
7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W
7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W
7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W
7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L
7/15 Colorado Over 10 L
7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W
7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L
7/16 Philly (Hamels) L
7/17 Astros Over 7 W
7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W
7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W
7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L
7/18 White Sox ML W
7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W
7/19 Nationals ML L
7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L
7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W
7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L
7/20 Rangers ML L
7/21 Angels ML W
7/22 Tampa ML L
7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W
7/23 Astros ML L
7/23 Yankees RL L
7/24 Rangers RL L
7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W
7/24 Tampa Rays ML W
7/25 Angels ML L
7/25 White Sox ML W
7/26 Angels ML W
7/26 Detroit ML W
7/26 Brewers ML W
7/27 Arizona ML W
7/28 Detroit ML L
7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W
7/29 Mets ML W
7/30 Tampa ML L
7/30 Brewers RL W
7/31 Phillies Under 8 L
7/31 Tampa Rays ML W
8/01 Reds ML L
8/01 Brewers ML W
8/02 Phillies Over 10 L
8/02 Rays ML L
8/02 Red Sox Under 9 W
8/03 Cards ML L
8/03 Reds ML L
8/03 Tampa ML W
8/03 Royals ML W
8/03 Twins ML W