[ApricotSinner32]

Do it

[GemSportsPicks]

Love Love Love this play... I will have the moneyline as well... Told myself I'd never take mariners again, but in the impossible to win spot, is the exact spot where they will win.

[wantitall4moi]

Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.

[ApricotSinner32]

Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.

[iifold]

Patty you fukk...

What are you thinking here?

Why not just take the over in the Team Total (3 or 3.5) if you think they will score some runs...

You dont plan on this Beavan fukk to shut down the Redsox in Boston, do you?

Lets hear it...

[Cannon]

Boston wins by 3

[Doc JS]

Boston wins by 3

Hope so!

[donkdown]

This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!

[goblue12]

Would need much higher than +1.5 (+115) for me to consider playing this.

I want at least +1.5 (+130).

[CanuckG]

This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!

yeah what about the brewers? heard they won

[donkdown]

Listen I like Sinner but I sometimes think he puts picks up just for the shock value!! I had Brewers with him. My point here is this is the best pick u can come up with tonight?? Or is this a pick that will make u look smarter than u really are if it happens to win??

[Rod1010]

This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!

So the new Donkdown is a troll huh ?


Thought you were a better poster

[donkdown]

No troll man!! I just think Sinner can come up with a better pick than this is all!! I hope it hits I have no horse in this race..

[jeffdane]

Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.

???



show me some stats to back this statement up.

just a quick check, shows me the that seattle has lost 18 (1 run games).
they are 43-56. take off 18 losses and add then to the wins and the mariners are
61-38 (+1.5 rl)

i dont like the mariners today, just saying that +1.5 rl is an undervalued play, most are scared to play, because its usually juicy.

the nationals are 49-50 su
they have lost 21 (1 run games)
70-29 (+1.5 rl)

[donkdown]

good stuff there daner

[Giant Rebels]

Load up on Boston, they will win 12 out of next 15.

[nyed1010]

sinner, what are you smoking pal?

[WolfpackChuck]

Boston by a touchdown

[iifold]

Mariners TT Over (3) -120

[JMon]

Could be, yet Beckett is 14-0 as 200+ fav and 10-3 on the RL since April 18, 2009. Going to ride with the odds here..

But gl too you!!! One of us will be HAPPY!

[Rich Boy]

Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.

Wow, this guy is fkn sharp

[mart59a]

Only choice here is Boston -1.5...

[CanuckG]

Only choice here is Boston -1.5...

you should go all in on it then

[Ra77er]

Oh hell just man up and take Seattle -1.5

[BernardMadoff]

Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.

If it wins you lose 50% for not betting moneyline? Makes no sense its positive EV anyway, you can say you techically lose every bet that wins that you don't play.

[ji03]

I like the Mariners moneyline.

[ZetaPsi808]

patty +1.5 +125 is available now at bodog now. i hope you waited to place your wager

[ApricotSinner32]

[fenexusa]

I like this

Boston wins by 3

[ZetaPsi808]

patty we got +130 on the runline betmania dot com

[ZetaPsi808]

1-0 seattle.

mike carp hugh

[CanuckG]

1-0 mariners

boo ya

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Seat up 1-0

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Lets go Mariners

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

This gonna be a big win hopefully