1. #1
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    Thursday Parlay...

    New York Yankees -136
    Milwaukee Brewers +101
    Detroit Tigers -150

    1 to win 4.81


    Musher's please check in.

  2. #2
    iceminers26
    iceminers26's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-08
    Posts: 15,600

    If those are the teams you like today, you're better off playing Yanks and Tigers on runline and Brew ml all as straights... why parlay?

  3. #3
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    I am playing them all as straights as well as a few Unders today. This is just a small 1/2 unit parlay that would make an incredible day even better or just bury my a$$ a little more. I've had horrid results playing the RL on favs and simply prefer to lay the extra juice rather than sweating out the runline. I've seen some data suggesting the smaller fav's (-150ish down to -110) have been profitable on the runline but just personal preference is to avoid it.

  4. #4
    BigDan
    BigDan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-28-11
    Posts: 5,104

    i think the more important thing to consider with rls is how frequently a certain team wins gms by 1. i know rangers are a very good example of a team that you actually profit more if you bet only their rls as opposed to mls, chisox another team that doesnt seem to win many 1 run affairs. And of coarse looking for gms where you believe there will be a lot of runs scored also seems to favor rl plays. personally i like rrl on dogs but certainly times and teams to consider RLs with. BOL on your parlay.

  5. #5
    jeffksu
    jeffksu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-09
    Posts: 604
    Betpoints: 8728

    Good luck on all your plays..Str8, Rl's and or parlay's...Hope you have a huge day and win'em all...they look good ...Good luck to ya..

  6. #6
    mtcook21
    mtcook21's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-01-11
    Posts: 304

    Don't trust the Brewers to win 3 in a row on the road, and Kennedy is pretty good for the Dbags.., GL

  7. #7
    Dabeergod
    Da Big D Boyz !!!
    Dabeergod's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 5,503
    Betpoints: 279

    Brewers are the odd team odd out of the 3. Dbacks win today.

  8. #8
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    i think the more important thing to consider with rls is how frequently a certain team wins gms by 1. i know rangers are a very good example of a team that you actually profit more if you bet only their rls as opposed to mls, chisox another team that doesnt seem to win many 1 run affairs. And of coarse looking for gms where you believe there will be a lot of runs scored also seems to favor rl plays. personally i like rrl on dogs but certainly times and teams to consider RLs with. BOL on your parlay.

    I wish I had some better data on RL's factoring in divisional opponents which I believe lead to tighter games. I do have the data on which teams have been profitable on the RL this year but for me personally I have a hard enough time squeaking out wins vs ML let alone adding in the -1.5 into my handicapping. Anyways thank you for the words fellas and hope you guys have a profitable Thursday.

  9. #9
    tshizzle
    tshizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-10
    Posts: 298
    Betpoints: 1217

    im not sure on the brewers today.

  10. #10
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    I have the Brew Crew winning this game at around a 53.7% (-115) clip, so I feel like I've got some value on the + side today. Best of luck to all snake backers though, Im far from a solid baseball capper.

  11. #11
    Philphan
    Philphan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-10
    Posts: 260

    Regarding the Run lines...away teams are always a better run line play while home teams are always better to stick with the ML

  12. #12
    Philavanh
    Philavanh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-06
    Posts: 2,800

    GL on your play....cash this parlay in buddy

  13. #13
    BroDog73
    BroDog73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-09-11
    Posts: 349

    For the future, consider playing them at -1 instead of the runline. It takes some juice off your bigger favs, but doesn't expose you to as much risk. Plus, if one of the teams only wins by 1 (a push), it won't destroy your parlay. If your book doesn't have -1 lines, you can create it by placing money on the ml and rl to accomplish the same thing.

  14. #14
    BroDog73
    BroDog73's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-09-11
    Posts: 349

    Good luck!

  15. #15
    Dabeergod
    Da Big D Boyz !!!
    Dabeergod's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 5,503
    Betpoints: 279

    Quote Originally Posted by BroDog73 View Post
    If your book doesn't have -1 lines, you can create it by placing money on the ml and rl to accomplish the same thing.
    What if the team you bet on the ML and the RL loses? Don't you lose double

  16. #16
    dj_destroyer
    I'm +EV
    dj_destroyer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-10
    Posts: 3,856
    Betpoints: 383

    Call me a sharp poster then bet against me...?

    At least one of us will be right.

  17. #17
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer View Post
    Call me a sharp poster then bet against me...?

    At least one of us will be right.
    Sorry DJ, didn't see your snakes play prior to playing this.

    I do have an out that offers -1's and I am aware of the chalky player's increased % to simply breakeven. I have a mlb thread here and I'm running about 55-44 right now with posted plays but because Im such a chalk homer Im only up this season single digit's. I also prefer to simply flat bet, regardless of strength of my plays only during baseball. It's just a preference and lowers my risk during the long baseball season.

  18. #18
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,554
    Betpoints: 6892

    all 3 teams road teams... this won't hit.

  19. #19
    dj_destroyer
    I'm +EV
    dj_destroyer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-10
    Posts: 3,856
    Betpoints: 383

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer View Post
    Call me a sharp poster then bet against me...?

    At least one of us will be right.
    It wasn't you.

  20. #20
    sweethook
    sweethook's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-21-07
    Posts: 12,657
    Betpoints: 10464

    parlays are realy tuff in bb , youl need some points , gl

  21. #21
    dabomguy11
    dabomguy11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-11
    Posts: 558
    Betpoints: 1633

    Quote Originally Posted by Dabeergod View Post
    What if the team you bet on the ML and the RL loses? Don't you lose double
    You place a 1/2 unit on the ML and a 1/2 unit on the RL. Thus, if your team wins by 2+ runs, you win both. If your team wins by 1 run, you push, and if your team loses, well, you lose your entire unit. Thus creating a pseudo -1 wager if a "real" -1 wager is not available.

  22. #22
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    Ugh horrible parlay....1-2 for the day. Several posters liked the Snakes, yet it was too late /banghead. Grats on all your winners yesterday.

Top