Guy is leading this tourney and you place those kind of odds on him this is atleast worth it.
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07-08-11 10:33 PM #1
Umm 5dimes has Chez Reavie @+754 to win PGA Deere Classic
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07-08-11 10:39 PM #2
after round 2 pga win tournament bets are one of the hardest bets to win
way too unpredictable
guy probably wont even finish in top 10
its a sucker bet
-EV big time
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07-08-11 10:42 PM #3
Originally Posted by Br0nxer
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07-09-11 06:04 AM #4
only up 2 strokes if anyones wondering.
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07-09-11 06:07 AM #5
betting on a winner in a field of many is not a wise bet. Nascar and golf are not good things to bet on in my opinion, unless you do the head to head props.
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07-09-11 07:07 AM #6
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07-09-11 07:35 AM #7
Book it the winner of this tourney will be Brendon de Jonge, he will get his long deserved victory
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07-09-11 07:41 AM #8
can't believe all the bashing on this pick.
i think taylor is right, reavie has a better than 1 in 8.5 chance of winning the tournament, this course is so easy he could easily shoot 64 64 today/tomorrow and nobody would catch that.
not saying he's going to win, but i think there's some value in the leader at 7.5-1, and you can hedge it with a side bet on a matchup against him today and tomorrow.
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07-09-11 07:42 AM #9
2 wisconsin guys, stricker and wilson, are lurking though...
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07-09-11 08:27 AM #10
stricker owns these type of tournaments, ones that dont matter, i wanted to bet him on wednesday stoopid, always the bets you dont make stricker by 2 strokes
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07-09-11 08:53 AM #11
mike, a lot of guys have absolutely no fukking clue how to bet golf and make me laugh when they throw out the +/-EV statements...absolutely no idea what they are talking about...they look at a price and decide in their gut if its +/-EV and then want to talk about it...
...gl boys
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07-09-11 08:58 AM #12
Hell it's worth it from the value side of things I already have Stricker @+175 to finish In the top 5 so it really wasn't a need for me to take him at +197 to win the tourney I'm
making money either way here.It's atleas worth a try here from a value standpoint guy shot a 62 yesteday with lights out putting .Also he is +.5 +111 listed for the 3rd round today.Last edited by lemart5; 07-09-11 at 09:01 AM.
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07-09-11 09:02 AM #13
problem is that you yanks think the rest of the world cant play golf, again Brendon de Jonge on this course is the play nothing else
Originally Posted by lemart5
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07-09-11 09:04 AM #14
i have a clue pal. Originally Posted by raydog
mike, a lot of guys have absolutely no fukking clue how to bet golf and make me laugh when they throw out the +/-EV statements...absolutely no idea what they are talking about...they look at a price and decide in their gut if its +/-EV and then want to talk about it... ...gl boys
been betting golf for a long time
and randomly betting the leader on the turn is a BAD BAD bet
i say it's less than 10% he wins
it is a SUCKER bet
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07-09-11 09:19 AM #15
Bronxer it not like im putting .
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07-09-11 08:30 PM #16
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07-10-11 08:22 AM #17
put a little on reavie +750 and the same amount against him heads up yesterday.
that is the way to do it, if he has a relatively bad round (which he did) i still broke even and have a freeroll in case he goes crazy and shoots 59 or something today.
if he was still the leader and won the heads up yesterday, then readjust your strategy for sunday
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07-10-11 03:35 PM #18
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