Do you have evidence for this? If you can show me the numbers, I'd love to see them.
I mean, let's look at this year alone.
grispi lost at -350ish to poirier and roop, gsot loses at -380 to siver, story loses at -500 to brenneman, bader loses at -500 to tito, rosholt "lost" at -700 to ott, sylvia lost to wagner at -400, fedor loses at -400 to silva.
How many big favourites in the -400 range won this year to offset that?