El Niño's MLB Thread

**El Nino** · 05-22-13, 05:35 AM

5/22

Cleveland Indians (+137) 2u 5Dimes
Arizona Diamondbacks (+119) 2u 5Dimes
Cincinnati Reds (-102) 2u 5Dimes
Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115) 2.3u 5Dimes

YTD
40-44 -16.49u

**El Nino** · 05-23-13, 06:14 AM

5/23
Detroit Tigers (-172) 8.6u to win 5u 5Dimes POUND PLAY

YTD
41-47 -20.83u

**chabooky386** · 05-23-13, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

5/23
Detroit Tigers (-172) 8.6u to win 5u 5Dimes POUND PLAY

YTD
41-47 -20.83u

What is your usual pound amount niño?

**El Nino** · 05-23-13, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by chabooky386

What is your usual pound amount niño?

Small units in bases on the net. To win $250. Hockey units bigger. A Vegas El Niño POUND PLAY in bases has been as high as $7K. Have had much better bankroll management this year though.

**chabooky386** · 05-23-13, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

Small units in bases on the net. To win $250. Hockey units bigger. A Vegas El Niño POUND PLAY in bases has been as high as $7K. Have had much better bankroll management this year though.

u

i see... so this game your wager would be in the neighborhood of? lol curious to know if you don't mind me asking. don't have to spill the info if its a iffy subject. bol

**El Nino** · 05-23-13, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by chabooky386

u

i see... so this game your wager would be in the neighborhood of? lol curious to know if you don't mind me asking. don't have to spill the info if its a iffy subject. bol

As it says above...to win $250.

**chabooky386** · 05-23-13, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

As it says above...to win $250.

Sorry was on my iPhone and didn't read that correctly. Thanks again for all your insight!

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 03:05 AM

Nobody, and I mean nobody blows a 3 run lead like the Minnesota Twins

Cash the pound play. 1-0 +5u

YTD
42-47 -15.83u

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 03:47 AM

5/24

St. Louis Cardinals (-118) 3.54u to win 3u 5Dimes
New York Yankees (+105) 2u 5Dimes

YTD
42-47 -15.83u

**the fatts** · 05-24-13, 08:44 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

Nobody, and I mean nobody blows a 3 run lead like the Minnesota Twins

Cash the pound play. 1-0 +5u

YTD
42-47 -15.83u

Sweet come back on the pound play!!! I personally don't like layin a lot of lumber on high favs, baseball being the grind that it is, but the Twinkies are proving to be a huge fade squad.....nice HAMMER!!!

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by the fatts

Sweet come back on the pound play!!! I personally don't like layin a lot of lumber on high favs, baseball being the grind that it is, but the Twinkies are proving to be a huge fade squad.....nice HAMMER!!!

Yeah, the Twins are brutal this season. I remember I was bustin' on BIGDAY for backing the Orioles against them. Twins jumped out to a 6 run lead and lost by 3

**the fatts** · 05-24-13, 08:54 AM

The tough thing about fading the Twinkies is the fact that Gardenhire is the manager. He is as good as it gets IMO. I lived in Minny for 6 years, there during the ridiculousness talk of contraction and that SOB just kept winning the division or getting into the play-offs. Tough to fade a team that has such a strong leader - but it goes to show you that a coach is only as good as his players and right now the Twins Suck Ass!!

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 09:07 AM

Originally posted by the fatts

The tough thing about fading the Twinkies is the fact that Gardenhire is the manager. He is as good as it gets IMO. I lived in Minny for 6 years, there during the ridiculousness talk of contraction and that SOB just kept winning the division or getting into the play-offs. Tough to fade a team that has such a strong leader - but it goes to show you that a coach is only as good as his players and right now the Twins Suck Ass!!

I agree. After TK retired, Gardy picked right up. I'm a big Gardy fan and a fan of the way they have played ball the right way and developed a lot of their farm team talent. Minus the Mauer contract (which was absolutely necessary with the new stadium coming in) the front office has done fairly well in letting "past their prime" talent looking for big money contracts go, i.e., Santana, Hunter, Cuddyer, Kubel. I knew they were in a rebuilding phase, but I didn't think it would be this bad.

I'm a huge Twins fan as well. Grew up during the World Series years. I was at Game 6 of the 1991 World Series. Lots of good memories in the Homer Dome, but they just suck right now. That Nishioka signing was dreadful. Their starting pitching has been terrible and is usually what kept them in division races. Solid pitching, tight defense, and a solid bullpen. Hopefully this downswing isn't more than 2-3 years.

**No coincidences** · 05-24-13, 09:51 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

I agree. After TK retired, Gardy picked right up. I'm a big Gardy fan and a fan of the way they have played ball the right way and developed a lot of their farm team talent. Minus the Mauer contract (which was absolutely necessary with the new stadium coming in) the front office has done fairly well in letting "past their prime" talent looking for big money contracts go, i.e., Santana, Hunter, Cuddyer, Kubel. I knew they were in a rebuilding phase, but I didn't think it would be this bad.

I'm a huge Twins fan as well. Grew up during the World Series years. I was at Game 6 of the 1991 World Series. Lots of good memories in the Homer Dome, but they just suck right now. That Nishioka signing was dreadful. Their starting pitching has been terrible and is usually what kept them in division races. Solid pitching, tight defense, and a solid bullpen. Hopefully this downswing isn't more than 2-3 years.

zYou know I love you Nino and I've been a fan of Gardy in the past, but I'm starting to wonder. Should they be a contender? No. But there's no reason for them to lose this many games year in and year out the way they have on his watch. Big difference between being .500 and losing 90 games or more three years in a row, which is where they're headed. I think Molitor is the Twins' manager by next year.

**El Nino** · 05-24-13, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

zYou know I love you Nino and I've been a fan of Gardy in the past, but I'm starting to wonder. Should they be a contender? No. But there's no reason for them to lose this many games year in and year out the way they have on his watch. Big difference between being .500 and losing 90 games or more three years in a row, which is where they're headed. I think Molitor is the Twins' manager by next year.

They should not be losing 90 games...no. They also shouldn't have a CF batting a buck fitty nine. I would agree that Gardy is out if they finish in the cellar or lose 90+ games again.

**No coincidences** · 05-24-13, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

They should not be losing 90 games...no. They also shouldn't have a CF batting a buck fitty nine. I would agree that Gardy is out if they finish in the cellar or lose 90+ games again.

Hicks just isn't ready. You can see the tools, but he's really raw.

**fitguy67** · 05-24-13, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

Nobody, and I mean nobody blows a 3 run lead like the Minnesota Twins

Cash the pound play. 1-0 +5u

YTD
42-47 -15.83u

I just love when the Cubbies or the Twinkies take a 1 or 2 run lead into the final 3 innings...the ML on "opponent" will be value because most live-betting algorithms are based on a monster-sized database of MLB games, ergo based on "average" or "normal" propensities to blow games...not on especially "gifted" teams like these...

**El Nino** · 05-25-13, 06:48 AM

5/25

St. Louis Cardinals (-103) 2.06u to win 2u 5Dimes
San Diego Padres (+125) 5Dimes

YTD
44-47 -10.73u

**El Nino** · 05-25-13, 08:22 PM

Originally posted by El Nino

5/25

St. Louis Cardinals (-103) 2.06u to win 2u 5Dimes
San Diego Padres (+125) 5Dimes

YTD
44-47 -10.73u

Added: Under 9 Runs Padres/Dbacks (-105) 2.1u 5Dimes

**El Nino** · 05-26-13, 05:34 AM

1-2 -2.91u

5/26

Cincinnati Reds (-170) 3.4u to win 2u 5Dimes
Milwaukee Brewers (-125) 2.5u to win 2u 5Dimes

YTD
45-49 -13.64u

**El Nino** · 05-27-13, 01:36 AM

Well, I get what I deserve for those juicy plays. 0-2 -5.9u

5/27

Chicago White Sox (-116) 2.32u to win 2u 5Dimes
San Diego Padres (+106) 5Dimes
Under 8 Runs Padres/Mariners (-105) 3.15u to win 3u BookMaker

YTD
45-51 -19.54u

**El Nino** · 05-27-13, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by El Nino

Well, I get what I deserve for those juicy plays. 0-2 -5.9u

5/27

Chicago White Sox (-116) 2.32u to win 2u 5Dimes
San Diego Padres (+106) 5Dimes
Under 8 Runs Padres/Mariners (-105) 3.15u to win 3u BookMaker

YTD
45-51 -19.54u

Added: Texas Rangers Game 1 (+108) 2u 5Dimes

**El Nino** · 05-28-13, 02:48 AM

5/28

Philadelphia Phillies (+118) 2u 5Dimes
Houston Astros +1.5 (-110) 1.1u 5Dimes
New York Yankees (+120) BookMaker

YTD
45-55 -28.01u

So, I'm going George Costanza and fading myself. These picks are the opposite of what I like.

**BigDeem5** · 05-28-13, 07:29 AM

**El Nino** · 05-28-13, 07:35 AM

Deemer, it had to be done.

Deemer, if my instincts are square, the opposite is sharp.

Deemer, there is a high probability that these profit.

**El Nino** · 05-28-13, 10:43 PM

Figures that I'm on the wrong side of Mo's first blown save.

2-1 +2.36u

YTD
47-56 -25.65u

**El Nino** · 05-29-13, 03:21 AM

5/29

Chicago Cubs (-121) 1.21u 5Dimes
Oakland A's (+122) 5Dimes

YTD
47-56 -25.65u

**El Nino** · 05-30-13, 01:11 AM

2-0 +2.22u

Good Day

**El Nino** · 05-30-13, 07:23 AM

5/30

San Diego Padres (+111) 2u 5Dimes
Minnesota Twins (+113) 2u 5Dimes

YTD
49-56 -23.43u

Hitting a couple home dogs for 2u a piece. One of these cashes, there's value on both.

With Felix, he runs in streaks and right now he is pitching poorly. The Mariners choked away a chance to steal one on the road late in the 9th inning last night. King Felix is going up against Andrew Cashner. The Padres are 4-1 this month when Cashner has started with wins at home against the Nationals and the Marlins and wins on the road against the Dbacks and the Orioles. Cashner is 3-1 (1 ND) with a 3.45ERA 19K's and a WHIP of 1.25. He pitches better at home than on the road. I believe I'm getting the slightly better offense here with the Padres.

With Lohse, you have a pitcher that usually pitches well, gets zero run support, and has the propensity for one bad inning almost every start. Milwaukee is near the bottom of the Majors in nearly every relevant offensive category when they are on the road. The Brew Crew is struggling having lost 8 of their last 10 games. The Twins can still score in bunches and should have Plouffe back in the lineup.

I'm fading 2 road starters here with name recognition who are small favs. You may be able to line watch and get the Padres at better than +111 if King Felix money comes in. I don't have time to line watch all morning though. Also, there may be inclement weather in the Twins/Brewers game so keep that in mind if you do not like tying up your money in a possible rain delay.

BOL

**El Nino** · 05-31-13, 05:50 AM

1-1 +0.26u Yesterday

5/31

Tampa Bay Rays (-117) 2.34u 5Dimes
Philadelphia Phillies (-126) 1.26u 5Dimes
Under 7 Runs Cincinnati Reds/Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) 5Dimes

YTD
50-57 -23.17u

**El Nino** · 06-01-13, 06:48 AM

2-1 +1.74u Yesterday

6/1

St. Louis Cardinals Game 2 (-141) 2.82u 5Dimes
Baltimore Orioles (+131) 5Dimes

YTD
52-58 -21.43u

**Smoke** · 06-01-13, 07:01 AM

**El Nino** · 06-01-13, 09:38 PM

1-1 +1.00u

**El Nino** · 06-02-13, 06:09 AM

6/2

Cincinnati Reds (-123) 2.46u 5Dimes
Arizona Diamondbacks (-136) 2.72u 5Dimes
Oakland A's (-105) 1.05u 5Dimes
Over 8 Runs Milwaukee Brewers/Philadelphia Phillies (+102) 5Dimes

YTD
53-59 -20.43u

**El Nino** · 06-02-13, 06:46 PM

3-1 +1.56u