5 Dimes has tonight's O/U at 6.5 -135 (on over). Score is 2-2 so just 3 more runs needed. Plus if each team can score one more run, it has to go Over (can't end at 3-3). Looks like a +Ev bet to me.
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10-29-08 01:40 PM #1
Over 6.5 Runs -135 tonight. Good Bet?
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10-29-08 01:41 PM #2
only if you expect the rays to be able to hit the phillies bullpen. hasn't happened yet.
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10-29-08 01:42 PM #3
A Lot of juice for a play that was originally 7-7.5 but I think it cashs. Good Luck!
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10-29-08 01:43 PM #4
how do you see it cashing?
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10-29-08 01:44 PM #5
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10-29-08 01:49 PM #6
Originally Posted by pat venditto
It's a NO PLAY for me ...my original play was u7 and I felt comfortable with that play on Monday...wouldn't attempt to predict a total for this game...too many unknown variables HOWEVER if your logic is that it won't go ovr because Tampa doesn't hit the Phil "Bullpen" I want you to consider how a middle reliever or closer wouldn't pitch to form in this senario. This is a must win situation for Tampa....throw everything out the window. Like I said NO PLAY so I take back "it cashes".
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10-29-08 01:51 PM #7
every game of the series is must win. tampa lost 3 of 4 so far so that logic is thrown out the window. fact of the matter is tampa is not producing.
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10-29-08 01:59 PM #8
I think the weather will play big factor with the totals tonight! 5DIMES had it at 7.5 last night and now it's at 6.5! Maybe It's a worth a look.
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10-29-08 02:03 PM #9
You would know better than me Originally Posted by pat venditto
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10-29-08 02:03 PM #10
It's really cold and windy the reporters say
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10-29-08 02:03 PM #11
I might take the Under 7.5..... I'm really thinking
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10-29-08 02:24 PM #12
Don't confuse juice with payout odds. Originally Posted by InTheHole
Juice on this bet (given the under @ +115) is "only" 3.81%. Compare that to the 4.55% juice on a market at -110/-110.
See http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...ical-hold.html.
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10-29-08 02:34 PM #13
I think 'juice' as in the street slang, hurts most people to understand the fundamentals of vigorish, and thus their disinvolvement in advantage wagering. Originally Posted by Ganchrow
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10-29-08 03:09 PM #14
If i were to bet it i would take the o6.5 but -135? dam thats razy on a total. But you said it all in your orginal post.. You just better hope it plays out that way. GL
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10-29-08 03:11 PM #15
No reason to expect Tampa Bay to score
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10-29-08 03:14 PM #16
Under.
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10-29-08 03:15 PM #17
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10-29-08 04:06 PM #18
I wouldn't touch it. Could win but they are going to have to score against two of the best pens in baseball, both fully rested. If Lidge and Price go a few innings each they might be tough to score on, hell almost the entire bullpen on both teams has been very effective. I can't imagine many runs being scored tonight, especially by the Rays, Phillies push one across in bottom of 6th, 7th or 8th the game is over.
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10-29-08 08:06 PM #19
it already won and we barely started.
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10-29-08 08:13 PM #20
looks like a lot of people got burried if they played this
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10-29-08 08:14 PM #21
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