1. 05-31-11 11:03 PM #1
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Soderling to beat Nadal +259

    The price on Nadal to win this match is insane, and i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis, but is there something wrong with the kid, besides not really playing his best. Could be a grind and go 4/5 sets.

    Soder +5.5 and ML.
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  2. 05-31-11 11:30 PM #2
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace_of_Spades View Post
    i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis
    That is apparent since he has been over -300 all tournament. Not to mention most of his career @ RG outside of maybe finals.
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  3. 05-31-11 11:36 PM #3
    iceminers26
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    check status on Sode's blister, it was bothering him pretty bad closing out his last match, just a heads up
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  4. 05-31-11 11:37 PM #4
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    That is apparent since he has been over -300 all tournament. Not to mention most of his career @ RG outside of maybe finals.
    Really, isn't he usually like -2000 or -1000 in clay matches? I've totally forgotten
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  5. 05-31-11 11:39 PM #5
    lunchbawks
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    nadal plays through injuries, and wins. apparently a simple blister messes with Soderling's game?

    you need luck
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  6. 05-31-11 11:39 PM #6
    Cross
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    Nadal will win, stay away from Soderling. No way Nadal loses to him again at the French, too much fight in that man!
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  7. 05-31-11 11:41 PM #7
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace_of_Spades View Post
    Really, isn't he usually like -2000 or -1000 in clay matches? I've totally forgotten
    Ah sorry mistook your statement. He's still massive favorites against most, but I think they are setting this based on the one upset two years ago and Nadal not being quite as dominant this season. But honestly, outside of Djokovic, no one touches him on clay in 2011.
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  8. 05-31-11 11:53 PM #8
    thirtytwo
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    I think he was around -300 against Federer in final of 2008 or 2009. Nothing even close since. But this line is even lower and money has been pouring in on Soderling so far.
    Off course theres one obvious reason, Soderling knocked him out in last years RG. But can he do it twice in a row? Epecially now that everyone kinda expects him to at least give Rafa a fight, including himself and Nadal... I would be very surprised if this happens. And if it does i would start seriously worrying about whats going on with Rafa at this stage of his career.
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  9. 05-31-11 11:55 PM #9
    cmendo2005
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    Either way you look at it its a fake sport and you should bet on something better
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  10. 06-01-11 12:58 AM #10
    Aeiou1x2
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    Thanks for brief explanation. I also was curious about the reason on Nadal's high value.
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  11. 06-01-11 01:13 AM #11
    trytrytry
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    like a long long long match in this one...lean underdog..
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  12. 06-01-11 02:02 AM #12
    MUHerd37
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    Nadal hasn't forgotten 2009. I like him to take it.
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  13. 06-01-11 05:40 AM #13
    jjgold
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    Nadal is still pretty sharp but off his game a little this clay season

    Yes he won two events and got beat in the other two finals but I did notice he is not putting points away as easy and guys hanging around against him


    His serve is weak too

    Soderling a very good player but struggles in big matches

    Me??? No play
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  14. 06-01-11 06:00 AM #14
    crustyme
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    wow jj with a breakdown on tennis.

    still like nadal tho.
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  15. 06-01-11 06:26 AM #15
    jjgold
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    Cruster I know the game better than anyone here.
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  16. 06-01-11 06:33 AM #16
    swiss88
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace_of_Spades View Post
    The price on Nadal to win this match is insane, and i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis, but is there something wrong with the kid, besides not really playing his best. Could be a grind and go 4/5 sets.

    Soder +5.5 and ML.
    Yes I'm on Soderling ML as well. I've been watching both of them play these last few days and today's game reminds me of the last and only time Rafa lost here.
    Maybe I'm wrong but I think Soderling has a great chance to win today and I like the price I'm getting. Should be a great game at least
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  17. 06-01-11 06:39 AM #17
    thespeculator
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    just don't feel nadal is the same, but i still think he has to much for soderling him and novak are in a different league
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  18. 06-01-11 06:44 AM #18
    dRavidC
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    you just get the feeling that nadal could potentially go up a few a gears and if that happens, soderling is no chance to even take a set off nadal. the game total at 37.5 is too high for my liking so the best decision here is a PASS!

    more value on the women's game totals imo
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  19. 06-01-11 06:47 AM #19
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Taking over 37.5.
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  20. 06-01-11 07:05 AM #20
    zr2786
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    Nadal will win this match in 4 sets! Hes too good at Roland Garros!
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  21. 06-01-11 07:09 AM #21
    robot
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    I like +5.5, less ML.
    Good luck
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  22. 06-01-11 07:19 AM #22
    jstblaze
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    I have trouble seeing Nadal losing.

    Even one set. They will all be close sets but Nadal takes them all.
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  23. 06-01-11 07:19 AM #23
    WileOut
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    I think line is right I would pass. Soderling +5.5 games if anything.
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  24. 06-01-11 07:36 AM #24
    Regul8er
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    Not bad value in my opinion. Soderling is playing as well as he ever has right now.
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  25. 06-01-11 07:43 AM #25
    firedawg
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    is this match on tv?
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  26. 06-01-11 08:05 AM #26
    jollyoscars
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    soderling definitely has it
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  27. 06-01-11 08:46 AM #27
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by thirtytwo View Post
    Off course theres one obvious reason, Soderling knocked him out in last years RG. But can he do it twice in a row?
    That was two years ago. Nadal won the French Open last year.

    Quote Originally Posted by cmendo2005 View Post
    Either way you look at it its a fake sport and you should bet on something better
    Either way you look at it you're a troll.
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  28. 06-01-11 08:47 AM #28
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by dRavidC View Post
    you just get the feeling that nadal could potentially go up a few a gears and if that happens, soderling is no chance to even take a set off nadal. the game total at 37.5 is too high for my liking so the best decision here is a PASS!
    No chance to take a set? What odds are you offering? Soderling has a chance to take a set regardless of how well Nadal is playing, and I've not been impressed with Nadal of late.

    If Soderling has "no chance" to take a set, you could bet Nadal 3-0 at +175 or so. But you're passing.
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  29. 06-01-11 08:49 AM #29
    iceminers26
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    Nadal -5 games, this will be a beat down IMO
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  30. 06-01-11 08:51 AM #30
    firedawg
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    is it on tv?
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  31. 06-01-11 08:54 AM #31
    and24
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    nadal trys to warm up in the first sets, 9,5 over in first set @-135 will be my choice.
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  32. 06-01-11 08:56 AM #32
    scottie2005
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    Tough match to cap, Nadal been too inconsistent in his play
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  33. 06-01-11 08:58 AM #33
    mikejamm
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    Quote Originally Posted by firedawg View Post
    is it on tv?
    Espn 3
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  34. 06-01-11 09:02 AM #34
    RollPlayer
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    A lot of value on Soderling here, i like it
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  35. 06-01-11 09:04 AM #35
    yisman
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    Bodog has +275, but I waited too long and they closed betting at 9:55 for no apparent reason.
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