1. #1
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    10 Dime Play Broncos/Patriots

    Patriots -3

    Don't think for a moment that last sunday nights performance is indicative of the Patriots talents.

    They were in a buzz saw situation with the chargers off an embarrassing loss and seeking playoff revenge. To further complicate matters they were landlocked on the west coast for consecutive games.

    The broncos take to the monday night road off back to back home games knowing they are 3-14 ATS on Mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when Denver is also off a loss.

    The kicker, though, are the numbers bill belichick brings to the table. He is 12-1-1 ATS in his head coaching career when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 when his team is off a loss. In addition, the pats are 19-6 ATS under belichick when playing off one-loss exact, including 10-0 if they allowed more than 28 points in that loss.

    Fade the public tonight and take the patriots


  2. #2
    WestsidePete
    WestsidePete's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 8,049

    The ATS numbers here mean nothing since Brady is not the QB tonite...

  3. #3
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Where the bets are going - Courtesy of SportsbookSpy

    Broncos
    Spread 61% Moneyline 74%

    Patriots
    Spread 39% Moneyline 26%

  4. #4
    Bluehorseshoe
    Bluehorseshoe's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-06
    Posts: 10,253
    Betpoints: 102

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic View Post
    Where the bets are going - Courtesy of SportsbookSpy

    Broncos
    Spread 61% Moneyline 74%

    Patriots
    Spread 39% Moneyline 26%
    That's really not that much of a lean. I'm looking at it being 55% in favor of the Broncos according to SportsOptions.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 08/17/2017


  5. #5
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
    The ATS numbers here mean nothing since Brady is not the QB tonite...
    It's still the same coach and for the most part the same team minus brady

    Broncos are 3-14 ATS on mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when denver is also off a loss

  6. #6
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    That's really not that much of a lean. I'm looking at it being 55% in favor of the Broncos according to SportsOptions.
    Another factor is a high percentage of touts are on the Broncos tonight

  7. #7
    WestsidePete
    WestsidePete's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 8,049

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic View Post
    It's still the same coach and for the most part the same team minus brady

    Broncos are 3-14 ATS on mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when denver is also off a loss
    Not saying the Pats can't win, but you must also consider how Shanahan has completely owned the Pats with Belichick and even Brady as QB...

  8. #8
    slacker00
    slacker00's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-05
    Posts: 12,262
    Betpoints: 5409

    10 dimes as in 10 grand? Are you a millionaire?

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005


  9. #9
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
    10 dimes as in 10 grand? Are you a millionaire?
    If I was a millionaire I would be betting at least 500 dimes a game (if anyone would actually take that kind of action)

    10 dimes is reasonable to me on a big play. That is the maximum for me

    I'm up and I can afford it

    Started out as a nickel and dime bettor and worked my way up.

    Not saying everyone should bet 10 dimes a game even if they have the money.

    Bet what you can afford to lose plain and simple
    Last edited by FadeThePublic; 10-20-08 at 06:16 PM.

  10. #10
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
    Not saying the Pats can't win, but you must also consider how Shanahan has completely owned the Pats with Belichick and even Brady as QB...
    That is true.

    Revenge is sweet though

    GL

  11. #11
    goode79
    goode79's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-08
    Posts: 1

    what about mike being 5-1 ats and straight up vs new england plus 2-0 in foxboro

  12. #12
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by goode79 View Post
    what about mike being 5-1 ats and straight up vs new england plus 2-0 in foxboro
    Good point goode - No pun intended

    hopefully after tonight it will be 5-2 and 2-1 then

  13. #13
    frostno98
    frostno98's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-07
    Posts: 9,716
    Betpoints: 534

    Denver's the right play here.

  14. #14
    Shark79
    Hala Madrid !!
    Shark79's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-19-07
    Posts: 11,211
    Betpoints: 144

    Maroney off for season not a factor ?

  15. #15
    13th Street
    13th Street's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-20-07
    Posts: 289

    Quote Originally Posted by FadeThePublic View Post
    Patriots -3

    Don't think for a moment that last sunday nights performance is indicative of the Patriots talents.

    They were in a buzz saw situation with the chargers off an embarrassing loss and seeking playoff revenge. To further complicate matters they were landlocked on the west coast for consecutive games.

    The broncos take to the monday night road off back to back home games knowing they are 3-14 ATS on Mondays against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when Denver is also off a loss.

    The kicker, though, are the numbers bill belichick brings to the table. He is 12-1-1 ATS in his head coaching career when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 when his team is off a loss. In addition, the pats are 19-6 ATS under belichick when playing off one-loss exact, including 10-0 if they allowed more than 28 points in that loss.

    Fade the public tonight and take the patriots

    All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
    How very sad!

  16. #16
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by frostno98 View Post
    Denver's the right play here.
    I can tell why you like denver here

    your avatar

    GL anyways


  17. #17
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by Shark79 View Post
    Maroney off for season not a factor ?
    could be

    I hope thats not the case

  18. #18
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by 13th Street View Post
    All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
    How very sad!
    Yes I did

    But I liked the patriots to begin with

    My name is fade the public ya know

    It was very useful info that I came across and was FREE so I figured I would post it for others

    A lot of people have to pay to see that paragraph

    Give credit to them for the write-up but that is my own pick

  19. #19
    tatommack
    cowboys make the playoffs
    tatommack's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-08
    Posts: 4,172

    what book u use that lets you do that much action

  20. #20
    Tsoprano
    Tsoprano's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-08
    Posts: 26,374

    Im on the pats too

  21. #21
    JBC77
    JBC77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-07
    Posts: 3,816
    Betpoints: 233

    Everyone I talked today likes the Pats. Didn't bet....just can't figure they reason out. The UPS man that delivers to my office even has them......

  22. #22
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Easy money SBR

    This one was over before the 2nd half

    Congrats to those that tailed me on the patriots

    I love money and know you do too

  23. #23
    strictlywinners
    strictlywinners's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-07
    Posts: 3,377

    great play my man, sorry I couldn't pull trigger on pats with you, I got over 48 for 3k over 48.5 for 1k, yea my bet moved the spread i know it sucks. And over 2nd half for 1k, so I lost 100 on the game.

  24. #24
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    It was a blowout

    It was a massacre

    Final Score: Broncos 7 Patriots 41


  25. #25
    FadeThePublic
    FadeThePublic's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-08
    Posts: 653

    Quote Originally Posted by strictlywinners View Post
    great play my man, sorry I couldn't pull trigger on pats with you, I got over 48 for 3k over 48.5 for 1k, yea my bet moved the spread i know it sucks. And over 2nd half for 1k, so I lost 100 on the game.
    Thanks

    sorry to hear bout your loss

    on the bright side it's only 100 that you lost

    could've been worse


  26. #26
    Cloak & Dagger
    Cloak & Dagger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-07
    Posts: 4,781

    Quote Originally Posted by 13th Street View Post
    All of that information you quoted was posted in the PLAYBOOK, under their 5* Best Bet. That's a publication. You quoted it, word for word.
    How very sad!
    so basically..he posted somebody elses play??

Top