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Develop A Winning MLB Betting System
If you ask an experienced sports bettor which sport has the most opportunity for wins and you will almost always get baseball as the answer. To take advantage of this you need to use an MLB betting system that will give you winning picks. The system needs to give you winning picks that you can take advantage of over the long baseball season. What makes baseball such a great sport for finding winning picks? The reason is that there are more specific factors that can be used to predict wins in baseball then other sports.
You need to take all of these factors taken into account and develop an MLB betting system that can predict a high percentage of wins. With a passion for sports betting and an analysis of the statistics you can create a winning formula. Try to determine baseball picks that are low risk and fit well into any serious sports bettors overall betting strategy. When you combine this with baseball's predictability you are looking at a great outcome in both wins and bankroll growth.
There are a few specific factors that make baseball betting different from other sports. These factors actually lower the risk of the bets placed and help protect your bankroll. The first one is that you are able to take advantage of is the 'listed pitcher' versus the 'action pitcher' option. The difference between these is actually quite simple, but can be unfamiliar to the inexperienced bettor. Learning this difference and determining which option to choose is an important part of any MLB betting system.
When you pick the 'listed pitcher' option, you are choosing that the placed bet will only take place if the listed starting pitcher at the time of the bet actually starts the game. If there is a change in starting pitchers then the bet is canceled. The 'action pitcher' option is the opposite. When you choose the action option you are saying that the bet will take place even if there is a change to the starting pitcher. How you determine which option to choose is important and a good MLB betting system has to carefully decide which option to choose for each game. It does make a difference!
Another factor that makes baseball a low risk betting option and great for a winning MLB betting system is the run line. The run line can be used to lower the amount of money you have to place on a bet. However, there is a trade off for doing this. And the trade off is that your team must now win by a certain amount of runs. The number is usually +/- 1.5 and depending on which team you bet can lower your bankroll risk.
Here's how it works. The run line is basically baseball's version of the point spread but it also affects the moneyline. The reason that the spread is usually +/- 1.5 is that baseball scores are generally quite low. The team that is favored on the moneyline will still be favored on the run line but, the amount you need to bet to win will be reduced. The amount it's reduced depends a lot on whether or not the favored team is the home team.
In baseball the home team bats last in the ninth inning. If they are ahead by one run or behind when the ninth inning starts and come back to win, the game stops once when they are one run up either way. The only exception to this is if they win the game on a home run. However, if you are the visiting team, you get to bat in the ninth inning and keep batting like a normal inning no matter how many runs you are ahead. Make sure the home versus away factor is part of your MLB betting system.
Betting the run line makes sense when you like a favorite and can get them at lower odds by giving the 1.5 runs and thereby reducing your bankroll exposure. When you are doing this you should also look at the predicted run total. This is the same number as the sportsbooks over/under. If it is low, like 7, then the 1.5 spread is worth more then if the over/under is at a high number like 12. As always, any information you can learn from the sportsbook and have to use in your MLB betting system the better. You want it to be as strong as possible so your bankroll keeps on growing and face less risk exposure.
When it comes to MLB betting, its' two unique betting options need to be taken advantage of to lower the risk to your bankroll. By using the listed versus action pitcher option you can ensure that your bet only proceeds as you specify. You don't have to worry about a last minute pitching change spoiling a good bet. Then you can use the run line to lower the amount of your bankroll you need to wager as well. When you have a strong favorite, especially if they are on the road, this betting feature pays off. As a sports bettor you need to develop an MLB betting system that includes both factors. There are more, but these two are a must.
By combining baseball's unique betting options, which help make it the most attractive sport to bet on, and your system's own low risk winning picks, your bankroll will see growth over the long baseball season. There are ways to statistically calculate everything on your own. Doing this will require some time, but you will be left with picks that take advantage of baseball's unique betting options. Once you have developed a sound MLB betting system make sure you incorporate the system it into your overall betting strategy. That is how the experienced sports bettors get ahead and consistently grow their bankroll, by sticking with their systems.
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Originally Posted by THEGREAT30
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