1. #1
    SBR Lou
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    Monday Night Football Betting Prop

    OK, here's what I consider to be something of a gem/value filled opportunity, and a decent price as well.

    (line courtesy of Bet Online)

    Will there be a score in 1st 7min 30sec of 1st qtr

    111 Yes -160
    112 No +130

    What we know: Both teams are coming off stellar offensive games, but more importantly both quarterbacks are in great form and this is something of a rivalry here especially with Terrell Owens going against his former ballclub. I think he'll be involved very early on in the gameplan, and almost wouldn't be surprised to see him catch one deep the first or second play of the ballgame depending the field position.

    What "can" hurt this play, but probably won't: Both teams are capable of running down peoples throats, which would extend the seconds off the playclock and work against us, BUT- both defensive lines here are very respectable and I feel the bulk of the yardage will be coming in the air. Incomplete passes won't hurt us but hopefully we can clinch this on the first series or two and avoid any long, methodical drives which don't culminate in points.

    I'd suggest putting in the neighborhood of 2 units on this, each book which offers this has a relatively small limit so might want to pop this a couple of places.

  2. #2
    t-bone
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    My book offers:

    Will there be a score in the first 6 minutes

    Yes -110
    No -120

    Thoughts?

  3. #3
    SBR Lou
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-bone View Post
    My book offers:

    Will there be a score in the first 6 minutes

    Yes -110
    No -120

    Thoughts?
    I think that may be cutting it kind of close. Ideally I'd like it to cash so I don't have to sweat mine any longer than needed, but that extra 1 min, 30 seconds is important in my eyes. If there's a score with 8 minutes and change remaining you're left out in the cold.

  4. #4
    McBa1n
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    I really like the 'yes' on the OP prop. Can't say there's a ton of value in the -170 -- but the way these 2 teams play, and the aggressive style of both coaches on BOTH sides of the ball, someone is bound to score.

    Just looking over the past history of these 2 teams - outside of the Jessica Simpson game, that prop cashes easy. Actually looking over those the last 4, 3 have covered - however, the inside the 6 minute prop also hit 3 of 4. Better value there, for sure, at -110.

    Both of these teams are better offensively this year, IMO - and both have the ability to make a play on D to set up easy scores.

    SOO - that begs the question - is Jessica Simpson going to be there? heh
    Nice tip on the prop again, Crazy - I just don't shop these enough.

    Edited: found -140 on 'yes' for the first 6:59. Nice!
    Last edited by McBa1n; 09-15-08 at 12:24 PM.

  5. #5
    SBR Lou
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    Quote Originally Posted by McBa1n View Post
    I really like the 'yes' on the OP prop. Can't say there's a ton of value in the -170 -- but the way these 2 teams play, and the aggressive style of both coaches on BOTH sides of the ball, someone is bound to score.

    Just looking over the past history of these 2 teams - outside of the Jessica Simpson game, that prop cashes easy. Actually looking over those the last 4, 3 have covered - however, the inside the 6 minute prop also hit 3 of 4. Better value there, for sure, at -110.

    Both of these teams are better offensively this year, IMO - and both have the ability to make a play on D to set up easy scores.

    SOO - that begs the question - is Jessica Simpson going to be there? heh
    Nice tip on the prop again, Crazy - I just don't shop these enough.

    Edited: found -140 on 'yes' for the first 6:59. Nice!


    Thanks for the insight, and nice find yourself as well. Hopefully we have something to raise our glass to tonight.

  6. #6
    Shark79
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    Nice Prop Crazyl.

    I see a score in the first 4 mins.

  7. #7
    Justin7
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    Good luck.

    Another way to look at it... Get a database, and look to see when the first score was in each game. Compare to the game's total, and you can price any game that way.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    I think I'm neutral on this.

    Are the chances good that it will hit? YES

    Will it hit often enough to be profitable at -160? I just don't know

  9. #9
    onthewhat
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    Don't like playing these props, way to random. Agree with LT, don't like laying 160

  10. #10
    bigboydan
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    No +130

    I feel both these teams know each other like the back of there hand. They should know what each team is thinking during there first few drives.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  11. #11
    SBR Lou
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    Lets go!

  12. #12
    ryanXL977
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    i did your prop first 7.5

  13. #13
    SBR Lou
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    Woohoo!

  14. #14
    Panic
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    Nice call, Crazyl.

  15. #15
    onthewhat
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    congrats Crazy

  16. #16
    ryanXL977
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    cha ching

  17. #17
    BlackJack
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    nice call

  18. #18
    bigboydan
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    Very nice Crazyl.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  19. #19
    SBR Lou
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    Thanks guys. Maybe will make a play on the 2nd half too pending how the game goes.

  20. #20
    jackpot269
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    Great find and call pal!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  21. #21
    McBa1n
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    Dang, there wasn't even a sweat on that one... Cash it.
    Good tip, again. Thanks!

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