1. 03-30-11 01:12 AM #1
    dfberger23
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    Bet the Farm VIII: Santa Clara +9.5

    This line is ridiculous, these teams are basically even. Santa Clara's Kevin Foster has gone off in this tournament, scoring 36, 27 and 35 in the last three games, he will keep them in this game.

    Michael Glover, Iona's best player is not 100% with a back injury and Iona's best three point shooter, Kyle Smith, is questionable with a shoulder injury but who knows maybe he plays through the pain, it is a Championship game. He missed the last two games though so hopefully he still has to sit out.

    Gonna bet the ML too, it is a great price and they could win this one.

    Also got my biggest NBA play (not counting half plays) in a few weeks on Thunder -3, Suns have quit, plain and simple, OKC 13-2 in last 15.



    BTF selections are 6-1 in the past...

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...ppi-state.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...auburn-ml.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...chigan-ml.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...chigan-ml.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...igan-11-a.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...state-2-a.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...-state-ml.html
    Points Awarded:

    snapperman2 gave dfberger23 3 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  2. 03-30-11 01:20 AM #2
    rm18
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    Seems like a trap almost does anyone like Iona?
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  3. 03-30-11 02:10 AM #3
    KingKolzig
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    it certainly has trap ALL OVER IT. its been sitting out there for 4 days now. anyone who looks at the NCAAB lines is salivating. IONA in a breeze 75-55
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  4. 03-30-11 02:15 AM #4
    CanuckG
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    Broncos ML
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  5. 03-30-11 11:39 AM #5
    Lucky1g
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    VERY fishy line for sure...
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  6. 03-30-11 11:40 AM #6
    BIGDAY
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    Thanks for the heads up, I'll definately take a look.
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  7. 03-30-11 11:44 AM #7
    Joe Sharp
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    Lots of action on the Broncos and not a whole lot of movement....
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  8. 03-30-11 01:13 PM #8
    Smoke
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    GL Berger

    I'll tail you on this one, lets git it!!
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  9. 03-30-11 01:15 PM #9
    dfberger23
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    There really isn't that much action on Santa Clara, sbrodds says 67% on Santa Clara spread but 77% on Iona ML. A lot of games everyday have this kind of action...
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  10. 03-30-11 01:17 PM #10
    BlastByou
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    I was thinkin the same thing. Good luck Berger
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  11. 03-30-11 01:21 PM #11
    VFLY
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    Ill stay away, but BOL to you berger
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  12. 03-30-11 03:13 PM #12
    PlayTheSpread
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    This is a perfect example of the lines that I think are "fishy" and stay away from only to find out that it was a great bet the whole time....then I'm pissed the entire game that I didn't put any money on it. What to do?
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  13. 03-30-11 03:14 PM #13
    VegasInsider
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    I played Santa Clara +9.5 for small...seems like a fishy line and I'm not about to piss away a season's worth of NCAA winnings on the CBI tournament.
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  14. 03-30-11 03:16 PM #14
    dfberger23
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    Kyle Smith is not playing. I did some investigating:

    http://ionahoops.proboards.com/index...lay&thread=725
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  15. 03-30-11 03:26 PM #15
    wquine
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    gonna hit it, worth 1u at least
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  16. 03-30-11 03:29 PM #16
    Iona
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    The line certainly does look fishy. I made the game seven (7) and played Santa Clara at + 9 1/2 because of my 2 1/2 perceived point value; unfortunately I missed the 10's. The thing about Iona is that they tend to let teams stay in games with their poor foul shooting, so even if the Gales do pull away many times they let teams back in. Santa Clara is playing very well lately and if they continue to hit their 3's they will, IMHO, be in it until the end.

    Anyway, for those of you concerned about the cross country trip, Santa Clara has been here in NY since Sunday, they toured ground zero yesterday, so I don't see any travel fatigue issues. Their coach is from Long Island.

    As always, GL to all tonight.
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  17. 03-30-11 03:32 PM #17
    Iona
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    Quote Originally Posted by dfberger23 View Post
    Kyle Smith is not playing. I did some investigating:

    http://ionahoops.proboards.com/index...lay&thread=725
    Smyth has been out for a while with a shoulder he injured in the MAAC Tournament. He is the Gales' primary three (3) point threat. In fairness to Iona, they have been winning without him.

    Glover hurt his back in the East Tenn game, I do not know if he is 100%. Glover is Iona's big man and a good one at that. He is expected to play tonight.
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  18. 03-30-11 03:34 PM #18
    Maxmillion
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iona View Post
    The line certainly does look fishy. I made the game seven (7) and played Santa Clara at + 9 1/2 because of my 2 1/2 perceived point value; unfortunately I missed the 10's. The thing about Iona is that they tend to let teams stay in games with their poor foul shooting, so even if the Gales do pull away many times they let teams back in. Santa Clara is playing very well lately and if they continue to hit their 3's they will, IMHO, be in it until the end. Anyway, for those of you concerned about the cross country trip, Santa Clara has been here in NY since Sunday, they toured ground zero yesterday, so I don't see any travel fatigue issues. Their coach is from Long Island. As always, GL to all tonight.
    Nice piece of information, good looking out
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  19. 03-30-11 03:37 PM #19
    Iona
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    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...#ixzz1I4hW16oO
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  20. 03-30-11 03:41 PM #20
    dfberger23
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    Thanks Iona.
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  21. 03-30-11 03:46 PM #21
    kidkonggolf
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    I agree...take Santa Clara to COVER.
    BOL
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  22. 03-30-11 04:34 PM #22
    thfootball
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    I'm on santa clara, but iona's stats are like some of the teams in the final 4. small bet i guess. might go to NBA for one game.
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  23. 03-30-11 04:49 PM #23
    frostno98
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    This line is very reminiscent of Rider +7 playing Northern Iowa on the road in the CIT. Rider prior to that game was playing every team tough losing by 5 or less in their last 10 games, with the exception of a blow out loss to Iona 59-83 in the conference tourney.

    Riders goes against a slumping Northern Iowa team who just won 3 of their last 10 games, all in struggling fashion. Yet Northern Iowa completely destroys Rider 84-50, despite both team last 10 games would indicate otherwise.
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  24. 03-30-11 05:01 PM #24
    No coincidences
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    Why is the spread 9.5? That number is ridiculous.

    ML at Greek is sitting at -550. This is a sucker play.
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  25. 03-30-11 05:10 PM #25
    ringemup
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    Quote Originally Posted by frostno98 View Post
    This line is very reminiscent of Rider +7 playing Northern Iowa on the road in the CIT. Rider prior to that game was playing every team tough losing by 5 or less in their last 10 games, with the exception of a blow out loss to Iona 59-83 in the conference tourney.

    Riders goes against a slumping Northern Iowa team who just won 3 of their last 10 games, all in struggling fashion. Yet Northern Iowa completely destroys Rider 84-50, despite both team last 10 games would indicate otherwise.
    And you think rider was excited for this game? This wasnt even a championship game. They are sloppy with the ball anyway i can see why northern iowa took them apart. SC is playing with a mission right now and are probably playing some of their best ball. They are loosed, focused, and excited to end their season on a high note and have the talent to do so. Ionas been a tough cookie at home over the course of the year but i see a little bit of a lack of motivation playing a part for them here and the broncos will bring their energy and execute a bit better and possibly take this game outright. The 9.5 points is worth the taking here with the broncos.
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  26. 03-30-11 05:16 PM #26
    frostno98
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    Actually Northern Iowa shot like a hundred 3's, I mean they shot the f...king lights out. It's possible Iona who just as good with the 3 at home, could do the same thing. Vegas is banking on the East Coast time zone being an advantage here. That's the reason why Washington State looked so terrible yesterday.
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  27. 03-30-11 05:20 PM #27
    Santo4osu
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    Took Santa Clara ML & Thunder on a Parlay 300 risk, 2500 to win!!!
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  28. 03-30-11 05:23 PM #28
    ringemup
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    Quote Originally Posted by frostno98 View Post
    Actually Northern Iowa shot like a hundred 3's, I mean they shot the f...king lights out. It's possible Iona who just as good with the 3 at home, could do the same thing. Vegas is banking on the East Coast time zone being an advantage here. That's the reason why Washington State looked so terrible yesterday.
    You dont lose by over 30 pts because of jet lag. If Iona is going to be jacking up 3s then SC will have the edge because they dont mind a fast pace and are most dangerous when the game goes above 80s or so.
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  29. 03-30-11 05:31 PM #29
    frostno98
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    Ask yourself, who in the world won't take Santa Clara at +9.5. This looks insanely too easy. Just look a Santa Clara last 10, and there's no way don't cover, if not flat out win. If this was the regular season I would take SC, since you can find soft line due to Vegas spending most of their focus on the top 25. There's only a few college games left, and Vegas going to be sharp in this one.
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  30. 03-30-11 05:35 PM #30
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by frostno98 View Post
    Ask yourself, who in the world won't take Santa Clara at +9.5. This looks insanely too easy. Just look a Santa Clara last 10, and there's no way don't cover, if not flat out win. If this was the regular season I would take SC, since you can find soft line due to Vegas spending most of their focus on the top 25. There's only a few college games left, and Vegas going to be sharp in this one.
    40% ML, 77% spread on SC.
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  31. 03-30-11 05:35 PM #31
    dfberger23
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    You guys are over thinking this, Vegas doesn't give a fuk, they will make money no matter what.
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  32. 03-30-11 05:51 PM #32
    porterkid69
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    with ya on the broncos +10 (Bought .5) GL all
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  33. 03-30-11 06:58 PM #33
    dfberger23
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    Lets go Broncos.
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  34. 03-30-11 07:38 PM #34
    dfberger23
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    Is anyone else watching this game? Question is if Santa Clara will win or not, +9.5 is a lock at this point.
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  35. 03-30-11 07:39 PM #35
    dfberger23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Santo4osu View Post
    Took Santa Clara ML & Thunder on a Parlay 300 risk, 2500 to win!!!
    Wow I hope this hits real bad.
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