as great as the cards pitching staff is, theres no way you can replace adam waino in that rotation, nooo wayy. Cards fall down to third IMO. Reds are still the favorites, and I don't think they really have to many holes in the pitching staff like you claim, but they have to be able to play this season as the team that everyone is gunning for instead of the under-the-radar, we have nothing to lose type of team, while the Brewers have to play with the pressure of this is our year that we have to do something. That's just my opinion. I think the brewers and reds will be a tight finish, and it will come down to which staff can stay healthy and be on the field. Cards will take 3rd and then stros and cubs will battle it out for 4th. with that other team in last.