Originally posted on 07/05/2022:

Since 99.9999999% of all bettors just look at numbers do yourself a favor step back read watch interviews press conferences things of this nature, you can get a good feel for how players/athletes are thinking, or they could slip a nugget in that isn't factored into the number. For example, if you listened to Sean Strickland the UFC fighter leading up to this fight and you know how he normally is you could sense even he didn't think he would win this fight just buy the comments he was making, yet he went off as the FAVRIOTE. Don't just wager to wager unless you feel like you have some kind of advantage that the books won't have in just the numbers.

Another example is Casper Rudd he said in an interview a few months prior to Wimbledon that he feels more comfortable playing golf on grass then tennis, what happened he faced Ugo Humbert in the round of 64 a guy who loves the grass and has already won a title on it this year but was a +170 DOG just because of the rankings. Yes, you guessed right Ugo won easily 3-1