Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=29865406'>posted</a> on 11/07/2020:

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through last week and 27 plays with links to each play.

The Fund is 14-12-1 ats for +1.04 units and is 16-5-6 averging +1.17 vs the closing line.

That does not count last night's SJSU +.98 unit win.

Here is the summary with links...

1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
119 1-0-0 19-Sep SYRACUSE +21 (-110) 0.91 21 P 0
133 2-0-0 NAVY +4.5 (-105)* 0.95 4.5 P 0
155 2-0-1 ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110) 0 8 N -4
437 2-1-1 26-Sep KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110) -1 6 Y 3.5
449 2-2-1 DUKE +6 (-105) -1 4 Y 2
321 3-2-1 CAMPBELL +36 (-110) 0.91 32.5 Y 3.5
323903 4-2-1 E KENTUCKY +10 (-115) 0.87 8.5 Y 1.5
435 5-2-1 VANDY +30.5 (-103) 0.97 31.5 N -1
105 6-2-1 3-Oct S FLORIDA +24 (-110) 0.91 21.5 Y 2.5
115 6-3-1 MISSOURI +11 (-110) -1 10 Y 1
121 7-3-1 NC STATE +14 (-104) 0.96 14 P 0
153 7-4-1 AUBURN +7.5 (-110) -1 7.5 P 0
315 8-4-1 10-Oct E CAROL +4 (-104) 0.96 5.5 N -1.5
321 8-5-1 TENNESSEE +14 (-103) -1 12.5 Y 1.5
329 9-5-1 ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105) 0.95 13.5 Y 3
339 9-6-1 TEXAS ST +7 (-105) -1 7 P 0
113 9-7-1 17-Oct PIT +10.5 (-107) -1 11.5 N -1
127 10-7-1 KANSAS +22 (-106) 0.94 21 Y 1
133 11-7-1 KENTUCKY +6 (-105) 0.95 6 P 0
137 11-8-1 W KENTUCKY +13 (-110) -1 10.5 Y 2.5
313 11-9-1 24-Oct FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110) -1 5 Y 1.5
339 12-9-1 RUTGERS +16.5 (-110) 0.91 9.5 Y 7
359 12-10-1 KANSAS +20 (-114) -1 18.5 Y 1.5
393 13-10-1 M TENN ST +4 (-107) 0.93 3.5 Y 0.5
115 13-11-1 31-Oct UTSA +7.5 (-110) -1 4.5 Y 3
117 13-12-1 KANSAS ST +4 (-110) -1 5 N -1
161 14-12-1 N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110) 0.92 -1 Y 4.5
14-12-1 Total 1.04 16-5-6 1.166667


The very first two plays of the Fund were posted as the games went off, but they qualified, and it was noted then as now.

So this Fund isn't exactly a market tracking Fund because it employs two winning spot strategies: the overestimated home team and a Total/Spread ratio, both of which are compared to forecasts.

This is more of jsut a sharp ass Fund.

The spot involving the Totals is market tracking, to a certain degree and is 9-10 ATS. The plays involving overestimation of the home team are 6-3. Remember SJSU makes it 28 total plays so far this year for the Fund.

Let's look at the two year charts...

The Fund is handling the business against the closing line and if I were to calculate it including the prices and values for key numbers, the results are even better.




Here are the Units...



The Fund appears to be healthy and here are this week's plays...

311 6-Nov SJSU +9.5 (-102) 0.98 10 N -0.5
329 7-Nov UL MONROE +19.5 (-110)
345 7-Nov BAYLOR +14 (-107)
349 MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112)
387 VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107)
393 NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110)
395 W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110)
407 N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120)

These plays were lost to the Kung Flu...

351 7-Nov PURDUE +8.5 (-113) KUNG
383 UTSA +5 (-105) FLU

Because both Spread and Total movement can affect this Fund, it too can be subject to manipulation and plaYS moving in aNd out of the target range.

We do our best to keep it clean but sometimes we get baited. It's the nature of the beast and it's good to be able to show that difficulty real time.

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/LimpNextIndochinesetiger' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>