Originally posted on 10/14/2020:
Way to be results oriented. So a big fav that makes a 1000 to 1 comeback was the right play before the game all along. No value on the dog, no siree.
Let's put it this way, if you could bet on a coin flip, heads +150 tails -200, is betting on heads a wrong play just because it fell on tails? Only the long term value matters, not one damn bet. That's how you determine the right play.
Also, according to the efficient market theorists, there is no such thing as a right play right before kickoff.