Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=28275510'>posted</a> on 12/26/2018:

Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
You're still looking at it wrong.

Forget the book for a moment. Cap the game.

Take advantage of the fact that the majority of people stick an inherent 3 point edge to the home team.

Because it's inaccurate many times, it can give you an edge, or at least the beginning of one over the market. If you cap assuming the 3 point HFA, then you may just be in line with the market.

Then you won't trigger a play.

Take advantage of the fact the people get HFA wrong. I know bettors that have been doing it for years and have stacked that edge on top of others to beat the closer and even edge out some profit.

It's why I posted.
I 100% agree that you should cap each game individually. I think that there is very likely a possible edge possibly by knowing better than the entire market that is using 3 across the board. I think that is very smart adjusting for each game individually.