Originally posted on 09/20/2018:

i would be curious to hear other people's take on this but i know typically teams score TD's vs FG's in 60% of the time.

So losing a u2.5 TD's and winning a u23.5 is highly unlikely (21.6%).

The way I cap this game I absolutely love the u2.5 TD's and will tail you on this play.

https://www.streakedge.com/nfl-scoring-breakdown/



Quote Originally Posted by Winner211 View Post
Hey Sports, I had a question for ya:

I have a play on Cle TT under 23.5...its not here and won't show, however cle under 2.5 TD at -125 is here

Would you think that those two lines are comparable? Since under 2.5 TD essentially means under 20.5 with 0 FGs.....would it be too ambitious to say that cle would still have an expected value of 3 points in other score value given that they get 3 tds? Which would then be close to a under 23.5 TT and letting me play the under 2.5 TDs as an alternate? Or am I just reaching a bit?