[PAULYPOKER]

Originally posted on 06/09/2017:

Both teams were going for sweeps today against horrible opponents. And it looks like both teams will probably lose. Boston has already lost. In the case of the Nats, they were up against a Padres team that was 20-48 in their last 68 road games, and were averaging 2.6 runs per game vs righties in their last 10 games. In the case of the Red Sox, they were facing a pitcher who had given up 10 runs in his last start, and the Red Sox were outscoring the Mariners by almost 4 runs per game in their last 10 games.

So what happened? Neither team gave a flying phuck about their opponent, didn't take them seriously, and then lost. This should show us all NOT to eliminate the variable of MOTIVATION from our handicapping. If one team seems like an obvious winner, then they probably won't take the game seriously. This is an angle that I use big time in College Basketball, but it's equally important in baseball. Try to only bet on games where each team is equally motivated.

Always bet against the sweep....

Sweeps are very difficult, even for the .600 and better teams...

Wow man Tough loss''''.........

I told you last week to always bet against the sweep.............
Nationals and Red Sox, a lesson in motivation