[Da Manster!]

Originally posted on 02/01/2017:

I'm not a firm believer in using the transitive property as a "be all and end all" barometer, but just like the RPI in college basketball, it is a useful tool and metric stat to help make a pick...here are the common opponents of both teams:

New England 23 Arizona 21 (at Arizona)...2pt victory
New England 30 San Fran 17 (at San Fran)...13pt victory
New England 26 Rams 10 (at New England)...16pt victory
New England 16 Denver 3 (at Denver)...13pt victory


Atlanta 38 Arizona 19 (at Atlanta)...19pt victory
Atlanta 41 San Fran 13 (at Atlanta)...28pt victory
Atlanta 42 Rams 14 (at LA Rams)...28pt victory
Atlanta 23 Denver 16 (at Denver)...7pt victory

what exactly does this info mean?...well if you use the old rule of thumb that homefield is worth (+3) points, then we can make the following adjustments:

Pats over Cardinals = 5pts
Pats over San Fran = 16pts
Pats over Rams = 13pts
Pats over Broncos = 16pts

add the four totals up and then divide by 4 and you get 50/4 which means Pats adjusted average margin of victory is 12.5pts per game

Atlanta over Cardinals = 16pts
Atlanta over San Fran = 25pts
Atlanta over LA Rams = 31pts
Atlanta over Denver = 10pts


add the totals up and then divide by four and you get 82/4 which means Falcons adjusted average margin of victory is 20.5pts per game

so 20.5 - 12.5 = Atlanta by 8 over New England in the Superbowl!...Falcons win 31 - 23!....

[vegaschulo]

LETS GO FALCON'S! !!....thanks for sharing your mathematical info DA MASTER!!!..its really hard to go against the pats but i think they might put up a fight falcons +3 might be a good play ...BOL my man...cheers!!!!