Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=26753630'>posted</a> on 01/31/2017:

FleaModel™ v3.01

Ok, after a few months of tinkering, Version 3 of my model is ready. The last few weeks, I've been posting low volume, mainy team totals and some sides that I thought offered good value. Version 3 of the model will be different. I will only explain this once, and all questions about my model will either be redirected here, post 925, or ignored. I will be very busy so I will not have much time to hang out in this or other threads all day. Unlike some, not all, but some of you, I have shit to do. Ok, let's move on to the model.

1. I will be focusing on team totals but they will not be my only priority. I'm mainly looking for value. My statistical model, seems to be best equipped at picking team total overs, but if you go to post 1 and click on my old link for my Iconic NHL Team Totals thread, you will see it can do unders too. I mainly pass on unders however, because I like to watch hockey and go to many Habs games live; I own season tickets and mainly go to fade the Habs live, and it's more fun to root for goals than to root for defense. There's something poetic and almost incomparable to having the TT o2.5 on the road team at the Bell Centre and it's 2-2 in the third, and the road team scores. A dull silence fills the stadium and glee fills my heart and bankroll as my bet cashes and the Habs go down a goal, all at the same time. Only a few things compare, and they can all be found in Thailand. All at the same bar, ironically. Anyway, I digress. I don't have a favourite team, unless cash money becomes a team, or if Tokyo or Bangkok gets an expansion team. I digress. So, if you only like my team totals, only play them and do NOT complain about any other plays I pick.

2. Other plays will be sides or team totals which I think possess value. These will include in regulation (or in 60mins, or -0.5, if you don't know what these are, use google, please don't fill up my thread asking for terminology a six year old can get off google in under a minute) plays, PL -1.5's, and rarely, PL -2.5's and RPL -1.5s (Again, if you don't know what these are and can't use google, go to another thread.)

3. Plays will be rated via the new FleaModel™rating system. Defcon 5 is 0.25 units. Defcon 4 is 0.5 units. Defcon 3 is 1 unit. Defcon 2 is 2 units and rarely, and maybe never, Defcon 1, is 2.5 units. The abbreviations for these will be D5, D4, etc. The most common will be D3, which is Defcon 3, and 1 unit. If you see a D5 or D4, it doesn't mean it's a bad pick, it just means it has lower confidence than higher states of Defcon. Essentially, I will post all plays I personally bet, at the unit size I personally bet at. While my thread was up 23+ units in short order, I was making a lot more cash money on my non-posted bets. I felt bad waking up in the morning, cashing on my non-posted plays and not on my sole posted pick. IMPORTANT: You do not have to tail all of my picks. You can pick and choose. You can do your own research. You can use my picks to break a tie. Do not blame me for giving you bad picks to tail. I bet on everything I post and unlike most of you, I bet serious cash money that I've worked very hard to earn. It's up to you how much to tail, when to tail, when to pass, etc. And, if you don't know about bankroll management, get the fuk out of here. I will have cold streaks. If you blow your mother's credit card on my picks during one, I couldn't give two fuks. Google bankroll management. I will repeat for the last time how I manage my bankroll, and to great success. I take my entire bankroll, and divide by 100. Now I have 100 units. Every Monday morning, I pay myself and then recalculate the unit size. So, if I lose 3 units one day, I still have 97. If you get out of the sub forums, you'll find some creepy dudes who probably owe some very, very nasty Russians money and they don't follow a similar bankroll system. In fact, their bankroll system is borrow as much money as they can, bet like a retard, and then hope for the best. I'm half Russian by the way. I'm not into all that crime shit but sadly, I do have family members who chose a different path than I. Godspeed.

4. My goal is simple, to get to 50 units before the cup is hoisted. Tail me, use good BR management and discipline, and you'll make money from my picks. If you don't like any of this, leave my thread and go jerk off in a pepsi bottle.

5. Please do not clutter up my thread with stupid posts or trivial questions. Questions about one of my plays may be answered, if I like you. Excessive donkery will be punished by me passing on the day. But don't worry, I'll still DM my picks to the people on this site I like. Just the trolls and donks will lose out.

I think that is all. Trolls will be ignored by me and I would appreciate it my fans would also ignore them. If someone says something dumb, please don't even respond. Just let them go over the top and then report them for trolling and they'll be gone. We all remember Nostradumb. He's back under a new name but he's kept his trolling down to nada and that's fine. Yes Nostradumb, I know who you are and if you stay out of my face, I won't expose you for the fuk you are.

Ok, unlike other cappers here, maybe because I've had jobs and deadlines, I like to have my picks posted around the same time every day. I do this for two reasons. 1) I have a life and can't be in here jerking off all day, shitting out picks like some unemployed donk who lives with his mom and has a bunch of nuthugging greedy pickfiends waiting on his every move. My picks will be out by 2PM EST most of the time. 5PM EST is my absolute cutoff. There will be exceptions if I'm busy with school, work, or fuking. 2) It's respectful.

I hope you enjoyed the read and my first batch will be ready in 25 mins. And my first batch of NHL winners will be ready by 2PM EST or earlier. Let's make some cash money and bang some hot Asian girls. To the losers here who could never get a hot Asian girl on their own, if you make enough money, you can get some decent ones in Vegas for about 500 an hour or you can go to East Asia and lose your mind.

New to my thread? Am I any good? Well, my thread isn't even three weeks old and it has almost 42k views. Do the math.