Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=26697916'>posted</a> on 01/11/2017:

(YTD, +21.14u)

I'll just say this once. I've had two consecutive losing nights. I've been picking NHL for 29 days now (on SBR) and I'm averaging, despite losing over 4u in the past two days, over 0.72u per DAY. I have said from the start that I am using a statistical model that is extremely dynamic and complex. Each day, I use the prior night's results to tweak the model. If you are betting massively and expecting to become rich, than you must be new to betting sports. Where I come from, a ten unit month is outstanding, a 20 unit month is ridiculous and despite losing over four units in the past two days, I'm still at over 21 units in less than a calendar month.

That being said, I am making two changes. I will reduce posted play volume. I can handle the swings, I don't want to feel bad for those who can't. I will continue to play my plays personally but I will only post the best of the best. If I don't have such a pick, I will pass. I will focus more on posting team totals since my model does seem to be most successful with those, at this time, though I'm killing in NBA totals of late. It does seem to be less effective with near pick-em sides but it's just a matter of time before it's hitting 60% of those too.

As usual, my picks are for educational purposes only. I personally use them to make cash money. I'm up over 20 units since Dec 13 which is a lot of cash money. You are more than welcomed to tail, fade or pass. There are other NHL cappers in this sub-forum. If two losing nights or even five losing nights is causing detriment to your bank roll, then you are betting too much per unit and must be very new to the game. Ask doubledime or SBR's other good cappers how many times they've run cold. I will speak for him and Jay Row and other's who profit and not the myriad of those who are in the negative, let some of you know that we are in this for the season, year and long term: not the night. If you need to action gamble, I suggest blackjack or roulette. 9 and 15 are my girlfriend's lucky numbers. I strive for a yearly ROI of 10% per year in my sportsbetting. I've gotten there every year but once since I started doing this in 2008.

This is the last time I'll say it. This is how most winning bettors manage their bankroll. First, take your entire bankroll and divide by 100. Now you have 100 units. Each week, or month, recount your bankroll, and divide by 100. That is your new unit size. If you exercise discipline and either cap profitably or tail the right people, most times, you'll find your new bankroll is higher than it was the last time. It's taken me five years to go from a $20/unit player to a $100/unit player.

Sometimes, encouraging gamblers to "exercise discipline" makes me laugh. My skepticism aside, for the sake of my own moral code, I'll indulge. If you want to make a lot of money, quick, entertain crime or games of chance.

Winning betting sports is a slow, grind with more subtle highs and lows than selling cocaine or robbing banks. Most do not have the discipline to win long term because of bad bankroll management leading to loss chasing. Go do a search on doubledimes MLB totals thread from last year. I tailed him and did very well. He had many nights in the red. But he had more in the black. If you had tailed his entire season, his NCAAB season thus far, my picks, Helluvaguy and JayRow, you'd be up nearly 100 units right now. So, if you bet 100 a game, you should be up 10,000 dollars of cash money. Go ask an investment broker if they could offer such ROI and you'll get laughed out of the bank.

Ok, that's it from me. I will reduce the volume of posts I pick and mainly focus on team totals and value plays. 0-2 picks per day. I'll still end up with 50 units by the time the cup is hoisted. I would also suggest you do your own research and implement your own models and juxtapose that intel with winning SBR cappers to solidify which plays you think are your most apt.

New pick time: All picks will be posted here by 2PM EST due to school. Now would be an ironic time to fade or pass because I'm about to go on a heater.

BOL