Originally posted on 01/07/2017:

Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
Some playoff numbers.

Sharp forecast has Houston winning 21-14.

Stacking percentages line has Houston winning 27-14.

Public gauge has Oakland winning 21-20.

As far as the line goes, both 37 and 38 are Key total numbers. There haven't been too many lines down in the 37 or 38 range this year. It can be tough to move between these numbers and you can see that in the marketplace.

What I can say is that there are pressures from groups and analysts, further than just the forecasts, on the UNDER. At the same time, some of the sharper forecasts themselves tend to lead UNDER...it is very hard for the NFL market to drop below 37 and that is why that pressure isn't very visible.

This would send a contrarian analyst with a broader sense of the market towards the OVER. It could be the answer, but he needs to be patient.

It's the second game that may show the TOTAL payoff for today. I'll address those numbers next but I would expect to see some deception in the first game, perhaps regarding the TOTALS. I'm a bit rushed here, but I'll continue this in another post.


hmm..... i'd say this shit is pretty reliable.....

ship it a pizza card!!!!!!!!!