So let's be honest here, nobody has near enough data to say whether or not SBR Poker is "rigged" in some way. All we have is snap shots of bad beats from various posters. Bad beats happen all the time. There may be 10 players who if they maintained a database could plug their data into a pivot table or spread sheet somehow to see if specific combinations of hands hold up the percentage of time they should. So throwing out the common sense notion that nobody has enough hands and there is absolutely no motive for SBR to rig anything, lets look at logical explanations.
1. Cognitive & Negative Bias. People tend to remember the bad worse than the good. It's a natural human survival mechanism. You can't remember the 3 hands you won as a favorite during the 3pm tournament yesterday, nor the time your JJ hit a set on the flop vs KK two days ago, but you can bet your ass you can remember the runner runner flush that knocked you out of the tournament from 14 weeks ago. You add all the bad memories vs forgetting all the good and it sure does seem like the software is "out to get you!"
2. The play here. I know everyone here sees themselves as Phil Galfond or Tom Dwan, including myself, but the fact is that the play on SBR is very novice. I've used tracking software to track the play here at times…you get a lot of 40+ vpip players in tournaments and 50-60+vpip players in cash games. That means the players play 40 to 60% of the hands that they are dealt. That's looser than your girlfriend after a night out with AutoDonk. You combine these stations and bad lags together on one table and you're going to see more "bad beats" because there are more hands played, more flops and showdowns seen, and often times more multi-way hands played. That's not even counting the amount of times someone butchers the hand by offering great calling odds and flat out checks down and "gets sucked out on". It's not variance when you play the hand poorly. Even the tight players vs lags and stations are going to get sucked out on fairly often here because there are more opportunities to do so. I know of one specific player here who has been called an employee, lucky, SBR favorite, maybe even a cheater…by multiple posters over the last 6-7 years. He plays super lag and gets in players heads causing them to dump off the rest of their chips then they create SBR is Rigged threads on the forum. He's probably the genesis of half the rigged threads. In the long run…the cream rises to the top. You play well, keep your cool, you're going to come out ahead. Particularly on SBR.
3. The amount of opportunities to play. You can go to a casino and play more hands in one day than you can in an entire week on SBR due to the 1 a day limitation. So when you run bad because of #2 above, it can get really bad in your head due to #1 above. There isn't much of an opportunity to make up ground by playing volume when you are running bad on SBR. And run bad happens…to everybody.
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Let's get it out in the open - SBR Poker rigged? : Nominated Post
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