Originally posted on 04/15/2016:
I know it's easy to go and look at past results and not so easy to predict future results. In any case I decided to hit the db and look at each team who had the most wins in the regular season for past 5 years to see how they fared on the ML and RL. I wanted to do this to see more or less how the line makers adjusted. I did decide to leave out ML's of -105 in the RL results but do have them. Note as with any db, there maybe some discrepancy in entry closing lines or missed entry, but should be fairly accurate. Results are to win 100
2015 -STL
ML- (-136.1 average line) +2,067
RL - (81-81) +1,206
-1.5 - 55-70 (+137.1 average line) +423
+1.5 - 23-10 (-183.4 average line) +524
2014 -LAA
ML (-128.7 average line) +2,034
RL - (84-77) +1,105
-1.5 - 53-59 (+133.2 average line) +972
+1.5 - 30-16 (-168.4 average line) +318
2013 - BOS
ML (average line -130.6) +1,808
RL - (84-76) +1,114
-1.5 - 58-56 (average line +131.7) +1,919
+1.5 - 24-18 (average line -175.7) -757
2012- Nats
ML (average line -127.2) +2,267
RL - (84-78) +1,488
-1.5 - 53-57 (+141.9 average line) +1,678
+1.5 - 29-19 (-166.7 average line) -190
2011- Phillies
ML - (-160.8 average line) +1006
RL - (80-81) +707
-1.5 - 69-71 (+121 average line) +1,123
+1.5 - 7-7 (-173.4 average line) -552