Originally posted on 04/24/2016:

Look at the opportunity you have! The whole thing about sportsbetting is to be smarter than or know an important factor not available to the bookmaker. You have # of fouls - free throws - injuries - in college - zone defense or not - press defense or not - what if you find out in the broadcast that the big star has the flu but is trying to play. Where is it you can get an edge that the bookmaker cannot possibly know unless they have a guy listening to every broadcast.

Every bet has to stand on it's own two legs - has to have value at the time you make the play.