Originally posted on 01/16/2016:

INDIAN COWBOY
8-Unit Play. #302. Take New England Patriots -5 over Kansas City Chiefs (Saturday @ 4:35pm est)
Our first selection here we roll with the Patriots as they hook up against the Chiefs. Note, a few things here, you have a New England team that was routed by Kansas City the last time they played each other September 29th on 2014 by a final score of 14-41 in an embarrassing and public display of carnage. Trent Dilfer even signaled the end of the New England Patriots Dynasty. To which the Patriots used that loss to galvanize themselves and rout their oppoents the remainder of the season including winning a Super Bowl. Now, they get to face the same team that caused that destruction but at home. Sure, the Chiefs finally got that monkey off their back of not winning a playoff game the last time they played each other by destroying a Texans team with no quarterback. This game will be a bit different. You have a Patriots team that is stout on the defensive side and does have a quarterback. You will not see the Patriots yielding 41 points to this Chiefs offense like they did last time. And, you will not see a Patriots team lose 3 contests in a row as they come off losses to division rivals in the Jets and the Dolphins. Look for the Pats to bounce-back in a big way here and step-up for what is likely a huge playoff win. Sure, the Chiefs are rolling and have not lost since October 18th when they lost 10-16 to the Vikings on the road. But, this is the same team that lost by 10 to the Packers and 15 to the Bengals. And, none of the wins in this streak is that impressive – even the Broncos win is not that impressive considering the Broncos have so many questions with both quarterbacks that play for them. The Chiefs are not unbeatable and face a stout competition here with a team that is incredibly motivated to rout them. The Pats are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 15 home games when facing a team with a winning road record and the Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games to boot. The Pats on a double bounce-back, with revenge from the loss at Arrowhead, decent public fade and the Chiefs struggle against above .500 teams of which they played very few on their winning streak. Patriots 30, Chiefs 17