Originally <a href='http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=24743819'>posted</a> on 11/01/2015:

This post is, for the most part, true when dealing with known trends, like ATS records. It’s a good observation in fact.

But understand that this table doesn’t represent public information. This table represents performance based on a metric that I created and, save this thread, nobody else has.

Indeed the books are very aware of those sharp bettors and in fact, my predictions do incorporate adjustments, more accurate than the oddsmaker, for most trends and would account for the betting public, depending on the groups.

The adjustments made to the line based on the above “trends” are indeed esoteric and, at this level, we are competing with the book. This table, when incorporating the other formulae mentioned and other tables, becomes highly predictive. The color was for the benefit of the reader.

There also times where this table, along with other mentioned metrics, shows just how and where the money is split as well as the direction of flow. This is especially true for sharp bettors.

Don’t underestimate the value of that table, it’s not a simple representation of ATS records and streaks, it represents an inside look into the marketplace. Any adjustments made by the bookmaker in a spread, line, or total are matched by adjustments in my forecast.

If we were dealing with simple ATS records and trying to use a similar table to predict, then the books movements would eventually beat us; it’s a matter of time. But that’s not what is happening here, we have been a step ahead most weeks and that is why my prediction is beating books.