Originally posted on 07/04/2015:

Whenever I see a system that uses a 3 game chase, I first want to see if you show a profit over an extended period of time. You do indeed show that. When you have a profit, that means somewhere during your chase you must hit at a higher rate than even.

Your average odds per play is -165. This is according to your average series loss of 17.69.

Because you hit at a higher rate than even - somewhere, you will profit flat betting during that somewhere. Looking at your data, you easily, maybe suspiciously, profit every step along the way:

A bets 408 wins 204 losses = flat bet profit: 71.4 units
B bets 144 wins 60 losses = flat bet profit 45 units
C bets 44 wins 16 losses = flat bet profit 17.60 units
ALL bets 596 wins 280 losses = flat bet profit 134 units

Now you will profit any ol' way you wanna bet it. It all depends on your unit size.

If you 3 game chase to win 2% of your total bankroll, you would increase your bankroll 636 percent during these 3 years (318*2)

If you flat bet to win 8% of your total bankroll, you would increase your bankroll 1072 percent during these 3 years (134*8)

Flat betting seems easier, safer, and more profitable. Chase systems were invented when you don't have an edge. It seems you have an edge here and a BIG one. Just use flat betting or a Kelly method.