Originally posted on 02/11/2015:

been playing provo most the year it seems. big gm for them, if you throw out the beatdown nova gave them at home last year the majority of these gms been tight last several years including double ot in provo last season.. my concern would be that the last 4 gms or so provo has started allowing teams to shoot above their avg from 3, defending the perimeter was and should be a strength of theirs as they have length all over and have done a good job running teams off the 3 until recently. .they need to get back to contesting those shots cause we know nova aint shy bout shooting it(damn near 47% of their shots been treys in conf), on the bright side nova hasnt shot nearly as well on the road of late..

on the other side provo gonna have to impose their will on the offensive glass, plain and simple. they not scaring anyone from long range so the only weapon they really have against teams zoning them up is to make them pay on the glass. no reason they shouldnt win in that area, nova really doesnt have the horses to deal with provo's length. after ochefu there not much else down low to deal with them, if he sits for any amount of time it asking a lot of pinkston to handle cleaning up the defensive glass.

provo+4.5 for me. nova's 3 point percentage on the road been way lower, pretty bad every gm outside of johnnies and they have a history of shooting well at msg..