Originally posted on 12/15/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by James Marques View Post
It makes zero sense when people say this. The only thing factored into the line, especially in the regular season, is how big it needs to be to get equal action.
and in your estimation, which makes less senses? my approach, or

people up and down forumville operating under the false assumption that they can go up against the best modelers in the world and beat them by applying simple stats?

sharp money, smart money, whatever you want to label it, exploits and stamps out any inefficiencies in the major sports betting markets. equal action? holy shit man, it ain't the 1960s no mo and broadway joe is long gone. there will never be equal action. there will be sharp money pushing lines toward efficient closers.

on top of that, if you disagree with EMT at least give me a solid reason based on logic as to why.