Originally posted on 11/05/2014:

First off, stop hitting on me. I'll never f\*\*k you.

Second, you're never going to make a living at sports betting because you bet like a degen.

Third, this is a horrible bet for many reasons. Home divisional rivalry game laying high juice, bears have the talent to win games if they get their sh!t together and this game may be their Superbowl this year. They are both coming off a bye, so that's irrelevant.

This play definitely has a +50% chance of winning. The problem is it's no where near the % you need to make this bet +ev.

Do yourself a favor and look through the players talk history and you will see a ton of these types of threads. As you'll notice, most do not turn out well for the OP. Use the forum also to learn money management. That is the most important thing, without it even picking winners you will go broke.