Originally posted on 10/27/2014:
Wrong Bear, your statement could not be further from the truth here.
Before you make the three team parlay, look at the times in which the games go off. Example, say two teams play that night at 7pm and one team plays at 10pm.....then imagine that the first two teams win (remember you ARE PREDICTING them to win....).
Now ask yourself, if this happens, will you want to hedge? If the answer is YES, then make a two team parlay instead. The above posters are correct, hedging out COMPLETELY kills any edge you may have in your abilities. Remember, the best guys in the world don't hit 60%.....they have a tiny margin in the long run, just enough to beat the books year round.
I hope this helps.....hedging in sports betting is just like buying insurance when playing Blackjack and the house is showing an ace. It is a house play and you always lose in the long term.....always.