Originally posted on 10/27/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
not really. A win is a win.

profit is profit.

it all depends on how much you "need" the money. If you need the money and you got a 4 team parlay for $100 and its down to the last leg aint nothin wrong with hedging and knowin that your going to collect some money regardless of the outcome of the next game.

basically it all boils down to picking winners. IF you can pick winners then everything else will fall into place.
Wrong Bear, your statement could not be further from the truth here.

Before you make the three team parlay, look at the times in which the games go off. Example, say two teams play that night at 7pm and one team plays at 10pm.....then imagine that the first two teams win (remember you ARE PREDICTING them to win....).

Now ask yourself, if this happens, will you want to hedge? If the answer is YES, then make a two team parlay instead. The above posters are correct, hedging out COMPLETELY kills any edge you may have in your abilities. Remember, the best guys in the world don't hit 60%.....they have a tiny margin in the long run, just enough to beat the books year round.

I hope this helps.....hedging in sports betting is just like buying insurance when playing Blackjack and the house is showing an ace. It is a house play and you always lose in the long term.....always.