Originally posted on 07/30/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by sbrhedge View Post
This contest is statistically structured towards advantaging dog-based systems. Limiting the number of Units wagered and maximizing skew toward plus lines handicaps chalky bets in general.

If there are no restrictions on the number of bets and the minus line, someone can bet a lot of chalky lines and they might have a run of "picking up nickels in front of a steam roller".

One of my chalk systems is running at 73% wins with an average line of -151. One of my dog systems is running at 69% with a +125 avg line but the SIGNALS ARE INFREQUENT <<----- this is where I would setup a contest if I wanted to increase my probability of winning.

Most bettors are fav-biased ... so maybe Bateman is pro or semi-pro and uses a dog system. I use both only because I want different metrics.

GL in the contest.