Originally posted on 06/03/2014:
My rendition of the MLB Getaway Day. These games normally fall on Wednesday, Thursday and most predominantly, Sunday. Sunday will be the day I use within my situation(s) of this day. In short, a Getaway Day is the last game of series and the road team is leaving.
The basic logic behind a Getaway Day is resting starters, lack of motivation- looking to get home after playing a night game which ends with a day game, look-ahead situations, and end of starter rotation.
I will focus on two situations (a fade and under play) that relate to the Getaway Day. I will also list plays and track its progression. For ease of tracking I will name them Situation A and B.
Situation A: FADE
Parameters (these must be met to consider a play)
- Last game of a three game series
- Road team
- Day game
- Played a night game the day before
- Sunday game
- NL conference team
- A favorite of 140 or below and a dog of 200 and below (* lines are dependent on database lines)
Tracking: FADE
2014: 11-19 (+513)
2013: 33-53 (+814)
2012: 31-55 (+1794)
2011: 25-65 (+3504)
2010: 32-61 (+2115)
2009: 42-53 (-5)
2008: 44-56 (+60)
2007: 36-69 (+2560)
Situation B: UNDER
Parameters (these must be met to consider a play
- Last game of a three game series
- Road team
- Day game
- Played a night game the day before
- Sunday game
- Can NOT be a NL East team
- Can NOT be in the month of April
- Total from 10.5 to 7 (* lines are dependent on database lines)
Tracking: (O/U)
2014: 11-11-2 (-120)
2013: 37-81-2 (+4085)
2012: 48-62-7 (+930)
2011: 56-51-10 (-1190)
2010: 63-70-11 (+60)
2009: 62-80-2 (+1160)
2008: 62-71-4 (+260)
2007: 56-78-7 (+1590)
2006: 51-73-1 (+1615)
2005: 52-62-3 (+205)
2004: 46-64-5 (+1340)
(c)Jmon