Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=21509364'>posted</a> on 03/28/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
what a terrible pick, does your life just revolve around lang like these other losers who bow down to his picks like he controls the outcome? just pathetic get his balls out of your mouths losers. Glad I ignored who he had and actually capped the game.
I'm pretty new here, but it only took me about a 15 second search to find out you don't know a thing about handicapping games. Like all real handicappers, I use a model. That model helps me determine where value lies in a particular game. Take for example the UCLA/Florida game. My model says the line is off, though just slightly. It says UCLA has a 52.4% chance to cover. A little too close for me, but when you have idiot touts like "Brandon Lang" (or whoever he really is) picking sides, why not bet against their idiocy? First rule of beating the casino: it's not about winning or losing, but whether or not you had a good bet. You have two teams, with comparable schedule strength, one with a slight edge in defense, one with a slight edge in offense that plays at a faster pace. Cover sounded good to me.

Admittedly, it's probably not as sophisticated as your dart board strategy, but it has done well for me over the years. It's nowhere near as good as your, what was it, 65% winners? How'd that pan out, by the way?

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