Originally posted on 02/20/2014:

Quote Originally Posted by antonyp22 View Post
I've tested a model over a season and it has gone 74.5% ATS on opening lines and 56% ATS on closing lines. Which is the more reliable indicator?
With closing lines, there is more information available than at the opener. Unless you think Vegas is just fvcking with bettors and moving the lines at will, the closer is more reliable.
That being said, your goal is to get the best odds available for the side you want to bet; if that means betting the opener, so be it.