Originally posted on 02/02/2014:

WILL RICHARD SHERMAN RECORD AN INTERCEPTION? NO -260
******TOP PROP PLAY OF ALL******





No defensive player has gained more press and TV time for
this Super Bowl than Richard Sherman. he is a fiery emotional player, considered
by most to be the top CB in the game, and his numbers make it hard to argue the
point, until you look a little closer at the numbers. Sherman has 16 INT's over
the last 2 seasons, including the post-season. That is a staggering large
number, when you consider that opposing offenses are well aware of his presence,
and do their best to throw away from him as much as possible. I guess that
strategy is better served by elite QB's that take care of the ball, are deadly
accurate, and know where the weakness is, away from Sherman. seattle has had an
elite defense for 2 years now, and certainly Sherman has played a big role in
that. Let's breakdown his INT's over the past 2 seasons.



2013-14 8 INT's:



2 vs Arizona and Carson Palmer who threw 22 INT's on the season

2 vs Eli Manning who threw 27 INT's on the season

1 vs St. Louis and back up QB Clemons who threw 7 in 9 starts

1 vs Tennessee and backup QB Fitzpatrick who threw 12 INT's in 9
starts

1 vs Houston and Schaub who threw 14 in 8 starts.

1 vs SF and Kaepernick who threw just 8...and there is a but:



Kaepernick including the playoffs has thrown 16 total INT's and 7 of them
have come against Seattle, as he can't play against them



2012-13 8 INT'S:



2 vs St. Louis 13 INT's 82.6 passer rating

1 vs SF SEE ABOVE

3 vs Arizona and Skelton 14 INT's in 7 starts 68.9 QB rating

1 vs NYJ and Sanchez 18 INT's and QB rating of 66.9

1 vs NE and Brady (only quality INT in 2 years)



10 of his 16 INT's have come in 12 conference games, while 6 have come in
20 non-conference games, only 1 vs an elite QB



Seattle INT's last 2 years vs elite QB's and Sherman's INT's vs same:



QB ATTEMPTS INT's Sherman
INT's



Ryan 35
2 0

Ryan 36
0 0

Romo 40
0 0

Rodgers 39
0 0

Brady 50
2 1

Brees 38
0 0

Brees 43
0 0

________________________________________ ____________



7 games
281 4 1



That is 281 attempts and just 4 INT's or 1.4% of all passes thrown,
extremely below normal, and just 1 of 281 for Sherman .003 negligible.





Now turn to Peyton Manning who threw 659 passes and 10 INT's or 1.5% of
all attempts.



There is tremendous value here on the NO wager.



To give up -260 odds here is of tremendous value, and the play is on
NO.