Originally posted on 01/18/2014:

One way I try and find an advantage is called 'win percentage edge'. Add both teams' home and away win % and then divide the higher win % by that total. Their overall records do not apply here.

i.e. of today's game... San Jose 14-10-3 at Tampa Bay 14-5-3

SJ RD win % = .519
TB HM win % = .636

Add both = 1.155

Divide .636/1.155 = .551 {TB's Win % edge}

Use the chart which shows win % edge percentages converted into Money Lines to begin searching for live wagers. But before you can use the table, you must go through all the steps, which I did in the example. It won’t take more than a minute or two for each game. Use your computer or a pocket calculator.
Code:
         WIN % EDGE		REQUIRED MONEY
         HOME OR ROAD 		LINE
	.524			-110
	.545			-120
	.565			-130
	.583			-140
	.600			-150
	.615			-160
	.630			-170
	.643			-180
	.655			-190
	.667			-200
	.677			-210
	.688			-220
	.697			-230
	.706			-240
	.714			-250
	.722			-260
	.730			-270
	.737			-280
	.744			-290
	.750			-300
	.756			-310
	.762			-320
	.773			-330
	.783			-360
	.792			-380
	.800			-400
The required ML is what you should be paying and not what your book or man is offering you.

Look for discrepancies between what the chart tells you the Money Line should be and what the line is that the bookmakers are quoting. Look for a difference of at least 20 cents when a game is handicapped nearly even to .583 or -140, 30 cents as it approaches .615 or -160 and 40 cents as it approaches .667 or -200. As a game that is handicapped approaches .750 or -300, the difference should be a difference of at least 40 cents but closer to 50 cents.

Another good example is today's game... NYR at OTT

NYR Rd W% = 14-10-0 or .583
OTT Hm W% = 11-10-5 or .423

Total is 1.006

.583 / 1.006 = .580

NYR W % edge is .580

NYR is a road dog in OTT today at +105. Play is on NYR because the chart says they should be close to a -140 fav.

Example #3...
NYI at PHI. PHI is a -150 fav.

NYI Rd W% = .462
PHI Hm W% = .571

Total is 1.033

.571 / 1.033 = .553

PHI should only be -120 to -125 according to this method. If you want to stick out your neck, play NYI or just pass like I am.