Originally posted on 11/18/2013:

Quote Originally Posted by BIG Bets View Post
I am hoping I am against RAS. Pay attention to his record this year
I forgot that around these parts, his record over the past 31 plays is more meaningful than his record over the prior 3100+ plays. Running the binomial distribution, the odds of a 56% capper going 15-16 or worse over 31 plays is about 1 in 4. The odds of a 47.6% capper going 1766-1398 or better over 3164 plays is all but zero. Then again, I'm sure that this math stuff has no place in gambling for someone like you.