[yisman]

Originally posted on 11/02/2013:

i just dont pay atention to line movers in regards to making my bets off them...

its just people like us moving them right?...u think that makes a big diff yisman? wouldnt u just trust where u think the value is the best of the h2h itself ?

im just curious cause ive never really though about it betting because of it, but ive never been a big believer in line movements mean much in nascar, or anything i guess even though i know theres something to it

what I'm saying the line moves this week made huge value on the other side

stenhouse and brad HTHs

people were fading them for some reason

Brad was not a play earlier, became a play late

same for stenhouse


check out the moves

Time	Kyle Busch	B. Keselowski
11/02/13 03:25:06pm	-155	+125
11/02/13 02:25:20pm	-130	+100
11/02/13 02:19:20pm	-125	-105
11/02/13 02:16:45pm	-115	-115

Time	R. Stenhouse	D. Hamlin
11/02/13 03:43:40pm	+130	-160
11/02/13 03:41:40pm	+125	-155
11/02/13 03:25:20pm	+115	-145
11/02/13 03:19:59pm	-110	-120
11/02/13 02:35:30pm	-115	-115

denny/stenhouse at roughly a pick'em was fair

but someone dumped money on denny HTH

Compare to the win market, Stenhouse closed +750 and Denny +1100