Originally posted on 10/14/2013:
The -108 implies a 52% chance of winning, the -170 implies a 62% chance of winning. If the odds of going to ot are 20%, you are still better off with the -170 because the difference is 10%. If it went to ot, i would give the caps better than a 50/50 chance of winning.
the problem is that people look at the -170 and think that is a higher than 62% chance of winning, just like they look at -300 and think that is 90% chance of winning instead of the reality 75%.