Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=19672096'>posted</a> on 09/18/2013:

Last week in NCAAF, these teams would have lost had you used it on them:

Michigan -36 (won by 4)
Nebraska -2 (lost by 20)
Texas -3 (lost by 21)
South Florida -12.5 (lost by 18)
Nicholls State +26 (lost by 63)
Wagner +29 (lost by 54)

3 of the 6 teams above probably got a lot of action due to their name.

Ideally the book is looking for bettors to tease down large favorites(like Michigan last week) from say, -42 to -21 and hope that the dog puts up a good fight. Or for a bettor to tease a small road underdog and for them to get blown out of the water. Or for a bettor to tease one of those FCS underdogs getting between 17-28 points and hope they get demolished.

There were 61 games on the NCAAF board last week, or 122 teams. 6 teams would have lost under this teaser, or 4.9%. If you had to pick 10 teams, that is 8.1% of possible teams to pick from. The book is betting on having more than 10 teams in this teaser lose. Last week since there were only 6 losers, the book probably didn't do well here.

In the NFL... only the 49ers would have lost last week.

1.7 odds looks pretty good.